Well, it's just an opinion. I don't think there will be quite the "quality of pilots" problem you speak of. When all the above listed companies start to hire, I seriously doubt it is going to be like the bat sh1t pre 9/11 frenzy.
Of some of the companies hiring right now;
CAL-plenty of qualified guys have applied, just can't get called. Don't know enough people.
DAL-Same, plenty of guys filled out the airlinesapps, same thing.
FedEX-How many apps on file? 10,000 or something? I'm sure pleny of those guys are qualifed, still, no call. Don't know enough people or have the requisite number of moon landings in their log book.
UPS-Excluding that whole "trans-oceanic" thing, still plenty of guys applying that are qualified and apply (when the window opens), not gettting called.
With guys seperating from the military, the bazillion regional CA's out there with 1000's of PIC, the fractional guy looking to move in the airlines, and whoever else, I don't think the airlines will suffer from a talent shortage. There are just too many qualified people for it to get that desperate.