It's interesting how those of you who oppose the RJDC are so sure it will fail (meaning it has no merit), and are so sure the DALPA grievance will succeed (meaning it does), yet you all so vigorously argue against the RJDC. If it is so obviously wrong, why bother arguing? A judge will see that in a second (as paraphrased by FDJ) and throw the whole thing out, right?
I believe much of what the RJDC suit alleges does have merit (and so do you, though you won't admit it), and this is why it scares you all so much. Why would ALPA be in settlement talks, if the suit had no merit?
While the results of the suit could possibly have a negative impact on the industry, it could just as possibly have a positive impact. I didn't bring the suit, and I haven't contributed, so I will personally just sit back and see what happens. There is nothing you or I can do to change what will result - unless you happen to be one of the plaintiffs and decide out of the goodness of your heart to drop the suit altogether.
I am almost positive a settlement will be reached. It is in nobody's best interest to go before a judge. I can't imagine what form that settlement will take. But here's what I'd like to see:
ALPA recognizes that they've negotiated the Delta contract in bad faith, as it applies to ASA and Comair, and agree to renegotiate the scope clause to properly address the wholly-owned issue. Maybe include ASA/CMR block hours in the "Delta system" block hours and a new cap for non-Delta-owned carriers. This would also give DALPA a further incentive to push for onelist. I realize they have no power to merge the carriers, but they can certainly apply pressure. As for the money, I don't think the RJDC can currently prove they were monetarily harmed, as Delta is claiming force-majeure on the furlough and scope portions of the Delta pilots' contract, and DCI is expanding.
How will this scenario destroy scope? All it does is redefine it as it applies to wholly-owned (or alter-ego, if you prefer) airlines at Delta. It has nothing to do with the industry or the profession as a whole, and could certainly result in a lot of good for those involved.
Rather than allowing management to 'farm out' flying to the RJ operators (read ASA and Comair), there will be a limit to how many RJs they can deploy. As others have pointed out, there is only a finite amount of concrete available. And the numbers of travellers will continue to recover. Americans have VERY short memories, when it comes to their convenience (or lack thereof). This will in time (and sooner, rather than later, I think)lead to a need for more large, mainline aircraft. Don't think for a minute that just because ASA/CMR pilots are paid 1/5 of what Delta pilots are paid, that management would rather carry those 200 passengers on 4 RJs instead of 1 767.
Well, that's my take. I say, the glass is half full.