Vastly Underemp said:
2wheelz and FalconJet, could you explain your logic to me? If both airplanes are growing in numbers then advancement opportunity should be available for both as well, admittedly not equal in number. Given the recent slowed growth plan I'm reasonably confidant that none of our group will see upgrade in less than 2 years, so the aircraft lock is immaterial. Seniority and the use of that seniority will be the only determinant to upgrade. Let's assume we all bid captain at first available. It will come down to how many numbers are lost to those of us that elect to wait for a 'Bus class. My best intel tells me that there will be 10 new hires/month for July (the first class I was offered) and August going into the E-190. With a September 'Bus class being offered that means I will lose 20 numbers, perhaps 25 if they start another E-190 class before the 'Bus class begins. Even if, in 2 to 5 years, upgrades are held down to 5/month (which I highly doubt) we're talking a 4 month difference in upgrade time. The pay difference over a minimum of 2 years more than makes up for the lost 4 months. And if you stretch the upgrade time out to 5 years the difference is even more glaring, but let's confine the discussion to 2 years as that's when the airplane lock expires.
There are lots more variables, of course.
Vastly: I added the emphasis to your quote. I will try to explain my logic. I'm not that familiar with jetBlue, but I would imagine that you guys bid for your lines, vacation and upgrades in seniority order. Think 5 years down the road, not just the 2 year seat lock. Seniority is everything.
You have no idea how long you will be in the pool if you defer a class date because it is in the "wrong" aircraft. Objective number one should be get on the property, then worry about what seat you are in. I was in a pool for over 2 years. Didn't expect it to be that long, but that is what happened. You have no idea how long you might have to wait.
Each pilot that gets hired ahead of you will ALWAYS bid for upgrade, vacation and monthly lines AHEAD of you. They will ALWAYS be furloughed AFTER you. Think about that. You only have so many years to work in the 121 world (be it till 60 or 65 or whatever) so every month you wait is one less month at the top of your earnings potential (one less month as a Captain at the end of your career).
One of those "50" pilots (and it could turn out to be a bunch more, that is the point) might be the one who decides to camp out on the line that overnights in your home town for their entire career. How big would those "50" numbers be then?
I just can't imagine anyone delaying a start date just to get on a particular aircraft, at jetBlue or FedEx for that matter. That is your perogative if they give you the choice, but it will cost you dearly in the long run.
I don't mean to sound harsh, just trying to encourage folks with the choice to consider all the angles before defering a class date to wait for a different aircraft or domicile.
Good luck with your choice.
FJ