bayoubandit
Well-known member
- Joined
- Feb 22, 2002
- Posts
- 272
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
I'll take that bet. The usual amount? (from Trading Places that means 1$) Historically, around ten percent don't return from furlough. Due to the age of the many ex-TWA furloughees and other factors this case will probably be closer to 20% -- but nowhere near 50%. Consider that over half of the guys who say they're never coming back actually shall.I'll bet no more than half of that 3000 actually go back.
They'd start recalling faster if the Pilot Group had some sense and didn't go public with their refusal to fly the China route and impede AAs application for the China Route.
I'll take that bet. The usual amount? (from Trading Places that means 1$) Historically, around ten percent don't return from furlough. Due to the age of the many ex-TWA furloughees and other factors this case will probably be closer to 20% -- but nowhere near 50%. Consider that over half of the guys who say they're never coming back actually shall.
break
To answer the original question, rumor has it that AA's ten/month recall rate will increase dramatically later in 2007. Even a very optimistic view would have a minimum of a year or two before the whole furlough list has been offered recall -- more likely longer. Due to the three-year bypass option it's possible off-the-street hiring could begin before all furloughees are back but it's way too soon to tell.
How does AA view STL as a long term base? I know that they pulled about half of their flights out of there what, three years ago? Since then its stayed pretty much the same size. Any rumors about its future in AA's plans?
Mortimer, I would agree with you. Historically around 10% don't return from furlough....however this last furlough from 9/11 is anything but historical. I don't think there's been a furlough of more than 5 years in recent history to go on. Also in that time period, SWA, Jetblue, Fedex, Airtran, UPS and a bunch of overseas carriers have been hiring. Look at Uniteds recalls, not many returning.....we'll have to wait til the last round to find out for sure how many stayed away. Plus the bad blood between American and TWA...I just don't think many will be going back. I could be wrong though, I'm just sittin here at ol Expressjet and I'm more of an outsider looking in.I'll take that bet. The usual amount? (from Trading Places that means 1$) Historically, around ten percent don't return from furlough. Due to the age of the many ex-TWA furloughees and other factors this case will probably be closer to 20% -- but nowhere near 50%. Consider that over half of the guys who say they're never coming back actually shall.