And who is going to do all this flying? There are about 7000+ pilos at UAL/CAL regionals. How is the new UAL going to find 7000 pilots to fly all these planes, even if it is done over time? Oh wait, I know....the Regional guys can apply to UAL for a job they already had at 1st year FO rates! Sounds great for a 10-15 yr Captain! How many people does this plan put out of work? THOUSANDS upon thousands of people that work at regional companies in many capacities, from secretarial to VP. The plan sounds so great on paper......Let's take back all 500+ RJ's to mainline UAL! Lets put a half dozen companies out of business, and make all the pilots scramble to find work as a new hires on the planes they already fly.
Maybe the only way this works is UAL absorbs all the companies onto their list. How about date of hire with fences. Do we still have a deal?
A job they already had? Well, I guess in this case that I described they wouldn't have it any more, so that is irrelevant. Why don't you ask the 1400 UAL pilots who got furloughed while the regional fleet grew how bad they would feel about it? My post wasn't a jab at the regionals, it was simply my opinion. There has been tremendous downsizing of mainline fleets due to regional growth, many people have been laid off because of that. I am not blaming the pilots, I enjoyed my time at a regional. I am just saying that if scope gets held here, it may come back around full circle. I have no control except for my vote, whatever happens is going to happen. Markets work themselves out regardless of what I want or what you want.
I am simply making the argument that there is no reason for any more scope relief, hopefully tightening. If that happens, and it is a trend, the regional market will totally change based on what the demands of the legacy carriers are.
You have to understand something - the regionals are not immune to the ups and downs of this industry, in fact I would argue that once the expansion at the regionals stops, they will be more impacted because they rely solely on their legacy partners and because the barriers to enter that market are much cheaper than as a standalone LCC so there will always be plenty of regionals fighting for the contracts. This is reality, like it or not.
If the government ever allows cabotage, neither you nor myself will have a job anymore. This is what we signed up for, we can't control any of this stuff, it will just happen as it does. I am just making a bet on it, with no money behind it of course as I am furloughed.