I'll excuse the stupidity of your post due to the fact it was written at 3:30 in the morning. :erm:
Look at the most recent transition award. Most of the Captains who live in or near a SWA base, and wanted to leave, have left.
The 717CA - SWAFO transitions have gone so junior, that the next group of Captains transitioning to SWA will likely be forced (assigned in reverse seniority).
The 737CA - SWAFO classes had initially been going senior, as guys who live in base chose to go over and stop commuting, however, that has changed in the last few classes, and it is starting to go junior as well.
So, given that the fact that we still have 700 Captains on the AAI side, and the award is going junior, most of our Captains are choosing to remain on the AAI side for now, given the pay cut and the forced commute.
Did I make it clear enough for you, or am I still "talking out of my @ss", as you put it.