I am not sure why I am contributing to such a gaggle of innuendo, rumor, and just pure stupidity, but what the heck, what are a few minutes of my time...
The RAH financing package is a cash deal. Cash. This isn't cash that RAH thought they might have if they had a good weekend in vegas, or possibly hit the megaball this week. It is a cash deal. Don't take my word for it, just try reading another website other than FI, like the epiq bk site. This is cash on hand.
Is it possible that RAH might divest a portion of F9? Anything is possible.
If RAH attempted to accomplish such a task prior to BK exit, the deal will fall apart and we (f9) are all out of jobs.
If RAH attempted to accomplish such a task after the BK exit, then they would be in violation of the IBT contract and will have to deal with the ramifications of the impending grievance and labor discord.
F9, as a stand alone entity, was valued at $300 million dollars during the auction. F9 doesn't "own" gates in DIA. We are allowed to lease and occupy gates based upon our daily use of such gates. DIA has a minimum use requirement, due to the fact that they get paid for every arrival and departure, and DIA can giveth or taketh away at their whim. There is no "value" in our gate occupancy. The gates can't be "sold". Cases in point are the C gates that F9 was going to occupy but couldn't, and the C gates that were taken away from YX and AirTran.
Everyone here is getting excited about 49% of this or 51% of that. Does anyone have any idea about the equity remaining in our airbuses? How about the q's? Ground equipment? Does anyone know about the fact that we have encumbered our spare parts inventory? This entity is leveraged to the hilt. The UCC decided months ago that they would be better off with pennies on the dollar today instead of shutting us down late last year. There is no equity in the "sum of it parts", only in the operation.
With that being said, if I was BB, I still wouldn't flip F9. Here is why.
FDC has $150MM in cash.
YX has a CC processor.
BB just wrote a check for $108MM, but will walk away from the closing with $45MM. RAH total outlay is around $60MM.
After exit, he will tell FDC to walk, and collect the $150MM.
He is now +$90MM.
The only equity remaining in any aircraft lies within the 5 Q's that have not been leased back yet.
That equity is in the single digit millions.
He will keep his new narrow body fleet because any additional benefit of a sale would pale in comparison to the revenue that he can generate on a yearly basis.
Someone mentioned fee for departure. BB wants to bring fee for departure to an entirely new level. Giving up DIA, and his new shiny toy, is the last thing he wants to do.
Oh yeah, Porch. FAPA didn't "exit communications". SWAPA ended the meeting on Wednesday, and everyone traveled in preparation for continued negotiations beginning on Thursday. Those meetings never took place. Feel free to keep talking out of your arse.
Of course, RAH could have already sold us. You just never know in this industry. If you think that you have figured it all out, you are really setting yourself up for a brutal wake-up call.