ACL65PILOT
Well-known member
- Joined
- Dec 6, 2006
- Posts
- 4,621
I can promise you this FIN, the only amount of DAL guys that will hit the street is the amount that they have hired. Trust me they will not want to take out six seats in every 76 seat jet. All of the previous furloughs will be safe. It is the 670 or so DAL guys and the 176 NWA guys on the bottom that need to be worried. Fact is that neither union cares nor do they need to. Evey one else is laying off and if we need to we will too. No piece of paper is going to prevent it. Trust me. If they want you gone, you are gone. Now go get the 500 hrs you need in the 767 to apply for the Far East contracts.
I still have not heard the F word. I do now know where you are getting it. Unless the business plan has changed this week while I have been on the road. With 8 LR's coming, that equates to 256 pilots for those airplanes alone. That does not include the 10 737-700 that will staff at 11 pilots each for a total of 366 pilots. That is more than enough seats to absorb what we are parking this fall. Add to that the inefficiencies of taking people off line to train the pipe line to the left seat of the 777, There are going to be a lot of bodies sitting in the training dept, even if we do not hire.
I agree that the bottom 10% need to have resumes ready, because it will take no time at all to throw airplanes in the desert. It will be easier to cut from the DAL list because we are all over the place. It will not require a lot of retaining events for those displaced. At NWA the only way it would help hurt them is if the DC-9's are parked. According to the powers that be that ain't going to happen.
I will say this again. I have been told that the next two to three years will be difficult at times, but after that we are going to be taking names. These guys are bullish about what is ahead of us.
Look around the industry. Tons of people are getting pink slips, will we be different, maybe. For now we are. That does not mean that it can change tomorrow.
On final not before I quit rambling. RA is a very skilled negotiator. I know people that have dealt with him at UHC. Do you think that for one moment he would not throw the F word to the NWA side or the DAL side of this deal to get someone off their back sides. I would. If he did, he just won a bluff. He may still be using it. It may actually get the SLI done. Everyone in the union that is someone, states that furloughs are real possibility. I just do not think that we are as close as some like to think. I did and had a few good chats. It may be coming, but not as soon as some may think. Now if they tinker with the fall schedules again, look for 300 for the DAL list to get a early fall break. Fact is that it would cost to much money to just do it, unless we are in a long term period of negative growth. Today we are not.
I still have not heard the F word. I do now know where you are getting it. Unless the business plan has changed this week while I have been on the road. With 8 LR's coming, that equates to 256 pilots for those airplanes alone. That does not include the 10 737-700 that will staff at 11 pilots each for a total of 366 pilots. That is more than enough seats to absorb what we are parking this fall. Add to that the inefficiencies of taking people off line to train the pipe line to the left seat of the 777, There are going to be a lot of bodies sitting in the training dept, even if we do not hire.
I agree that the bottom 10% need to have resumes ready, because it will take no time at all to throw airplanes in the desert. It will be easier to cut from the DAL list because we are all over the place. It will not require a lot of retaining events for those displaced. At NWA the only way it would help hurt them is if the DC-9's are parked. According to the powers that be that ain't going to happen.
I will say this again. I have been told that the next two to three years will be difficult at times, but after that we are going to be taking names. These guys are bullish about what is ahead of us.
Look around the industry. Tons of people are getting pink slips, will we be different, maybe. For now we are. That does not mean that it can change tomorrow.
On final not before I quit rambling. RA is a very skilled negotiator. I know people that have dealt with him at UHC. Do you think that for one moment he would not throw the F word to the NWA side or the DAL side of this deal to get someone off their back sides. I would. If he did, he just won a bluff. He may still be using it. It may actually get the SLI done. Everyone in the union that is someone, states that furloughs are real possibility. I just do not think that we are as close as some like to think. I did and had a few good chats. It may be coming, but not as soon as some may think. Now if they tinker with the fall schedules again, look for 300 for the DAL list to get a early fall break. Fact is that it would cost to much money to just do it, unless we are in a long term period of negative growth. Today we are not.