Good Morning,
Uh, for the top 300 "combined" FO's maybe, everything after that is an exponential increase due to size of airline in the marketplace.
No argument there, but what was the snapshot last week for Southwest pilots? Upgrades only for attrition, all new aircraft deliveries were slated only for replacing hulls that were being retired, no new growth. With us, you get not only "right sizing" upgrades and new hires, but also GROWTH again for the first time in a while.
I also forgot to mention that your airplanes are operated 2.1 block hours more per day per aircraft, * 150+ airplanes = 300 daily block hours MORE flying. That's going to require additional hiring and upgrades, shared yes, but still, I'm sure the top F/O's will appreciate there sooner than planned.
You can't grow at the same rate you did when you get 20% bigger, not mathematically possible. Slower growth with a larger pool means exponentially increased upgrade times once the dust settles.
Can't argue with that, I'm just saying there WAS no growth before yesterday and, now, there's going to be growth. We bring new markets and new growth possibilities to the table. I know it may not seem like a fair trade-off to the pilot group there, and I understand your concerns, just wanted to point out that it wasn't purely a "we get a windfall and you get nothing" kind of scenario although, admittedly, everything you mention later in this thread is certainly a bonus for us.
Disagree, our guys already say the new rules will be a wash, no change required.
Well, like I said, wasn't sure about that one, as OUR flying rules were GOING to require additional staffing, hence why we have 175+ new-hires starting through March. Going to find out this afternoon if that's still planned or if upcoming classes are on hold - have to make a trip through HR to drop some paperwork off.
Not going to believe it until the recession is over. Gary won't grow until he hits 15%ROI, his words. Now, I have grown accustomed to not believing him as most of what he says has turned into little white lies.
We'll see... I think they'll quickly expand south like I was saying; the market is recovering, albeit a jobless recovery which is MUCH slower. However, barring us getting into another war, people are starting to spend again, which is good. This holiday and leisure travel in the late winter / early Spring should be a good indicator.
I wager there will be a growth of hundreds of captains like you believe, but then stagnation for another 5 years as SWA learns to deal with what we got. Those extra hulls are probably needed to replace old ones, at a one for one or less ratio, so no net gain. All speculation either way.
No, that's what YOUR delivery schedule was for. We don't need to replace any hulls, all 51 of our deliveries were new-additions for net gain of hulls. That's going to make a lot of senior F/O's very happy.
I sense an avoidance of Mexico, you read about whats going on down there? Civil war.
Not in Cancun, Cozumel, Cabo San Lucas, etc. We already fly there, as do many others. Millions of Americans go there every month for leisure. Yes, the border towns are bad, but the tourist destinations are still hopping and ripe for the picking.
But in the end, what would you consider fair integration? An Airtran guy/gal is guaranteed security, lifestyle, favorable management. Probably a pay increase. What would you expect a SWA pilot to give up or get during this merger?
Well, I'm certainly not qualified to make that call for our entire pilot group, or for yours for that matter.
I will say that it's not a PURE windfall for us. I'm losing my upgrade. For a LONG time to come. Turning my 1-2 year upgrade outlook (now) into a 7-10 year (optimistically). We were right on the verge of asking for release (our pilots were SCREAMING to have our MEC make the official request on our private message board), having nothing but the pay package left to negotiate for and having been recessed by the NMB since we weren't getting anywhere.
Our upcoming pay rates were a known quantity within 1-2% - right on par with ALA / HAL / blended JB rates with an increased B-fund and per diem and better scheduling rules. As an F/O I would have been making somewhere around $97 an hour in my 6th year pay, about $30 less than an equivalent SWA F/O,,, HOWEVER,,, I'd have upgraded into a $162 an hour 7th year CA slot. Now I won't.
I want someone to explain to me how losing that income is somehow offset. Yes, that's right, merging with you guys is going to be a PAY CUT for me and a lot of other F/O's who were right on the cusp of upgrading, unless relative seniority is worked out and I keep my upgrade. I think I just got your attention...

(I'm not necessarily advocating that stance, I'm simply putting the thought out there that for many of us, it's not the windfall that you think it is).
For our senior CA's, as long as they keep their seat and/or they are fenced? It's a good deal. For our Junior Captains? Unless they are also seat protected, pay protected, or fenced, not so good, if so, they do OK. For our senior F/O's like me? Unless you pay protect our upgrade expectations... Not so good. For our mid-level F/O's? Not so bad, hefty pay raise (to the tune of $30k-40k a year), and they weren't going to upgrade with our current projected deliveries anyway. For our very junior F/O's, it's a GREAT deal, representing a $40-50k increase in pay for the 10+ years it would have taken them to upgrade ASSUMING we ordered more planes.
Lets be those two lowest FO's with 12 hours of air, whats the deal?
Well, the pie is different from their end as I posted above.
My suggestion would be to take one pilot from each of the above seniority demographics (senior, mid-level, and junior reserve from each seat) and throw them in the room with the same 12-hour clock... It's a very complex problem, hence why trying to work it out on here is difficult. I'll leave it to PL and our merger committee and our MEC. I'm just here to fly and ask them to either keep my upgrade expectations or pay protect me for them.
Take care, buy you a beer in LBB.
We'll buy the General a beer at Gatwick in five years when we start flying there.
LOLOL... that's a classic, can't wait for him to wake up to that one. :beer: