Unions restrict supply, thereby causing spot shortages at the places they represent, this allows higher wages temporarily until market forces make that airline non-competitive. BTW many on this site say there never have been and never will be a pilot shortage. However being on the hiring end I can personally attest to the fact there have been wild experience shortages.
When your airline personally experienced those "wild experience shortages," what was your compensation structure compared to other airlines? Maybe your airline experienced "wild experience shortages" because the total compensation package offered by your airline was insufficient to attract the large pool of qualified, experienced pilots that were readily available?
During good economic times, I am sure may restaurateurs have a hard time hiring dish washers and bus boys at the wages they are willing to pay them. That doesn't mean there is a shortage of dish washers and bus boys in America. It just means that there is a shortage of people willing to work for low wages. Raise the dishwasher/bus boy wage, and you'll have all the dishwasher/bus boys you could ever need.
No, it is not.Whatever. A shortage is a shortage, however you slice it.
Whatever. A shortage is a shortage, however you slice it. The fact is that it will be difficult to hire people within the next 2 years. This shortage will not affect wages, but it will affect which companies can stay in business operating aircraft.
No, it is not.
A shortage of pilots willing to work for regional airline compensation does NOT correlate to a shortage of pilots able to work.
Think about it...in the last "shortage" (2006-2007) there wasn't any shortage of pilots applying to work at DAL, NWA, UAL, CAL, SWA, FDX, UPS, Netjets, etc...
Using that logic, I'm going to put an ad for guys to come out and do my yard work. I'm going to pay them $1/hour. When no one answers my ad, I'm going to post an editorial in the local paper and proclaim that there is a serious shortage of lawn care workers in my town!
There is no shortage. Never has been. Probably never will be. Orville and Wilbur had to compete over who got to fly and it's only gotten worse from there. The supply of pilots will be proportional to the pay and quality of life of the job.
Did you just read what you wrote?
Ever wonder why that was? Probably has a lot to do with compensation and career progression.Regionals don't hire people from major airlines, or from corporate flight departments, etc.
Again, a relationship with compensation and career progression.Regionals hire their pilots from flight schools, and small 135 operators, etc.
There isn't RIGHT NOW. There will be at the regional level when the age 65 rule kicks in, and the economy turns around.
Yes, did you?
Read it again.
And finally, a third time so it sinks in.
Now, please explain to the class how a shortage of pilots at the regional airline level represents a shortage throughout the industry. If you look real hard, you'll realize you've already addressed this:
Ever wonder why that was? Probably has a lot to do with compensation and career progression.
Again, a relationship with compensation and career progression.
Think about it: what regional airlines were hiring a substantive number of sub-500hr pilots during the peak of the 2007 "shortage", and where would those airlines rank among other regionals in terms of compensation, quality of life, and career progression?
If you choose to believe the bill of goods Kit Darby has been selling for over two decades now about the "great pilot shortage" that's well and good...but I personally wouldn't base my career aspirations and expectations on that.
Because people are confusing a pilot shortage with hiring demand.