Workin'Stiff said:Nuguy-
I'm under the same impression as pilotyip. I have several family members who work for NW, one in each "book". Bluebooks held the upper hand during the hiring days while the other two books were continually retiring. Now with the massive furlough forecasts projected at NW, Bluebook will lose the upper hand and you will see Red and Greenbooks being the vast majority. Those demographics will not strike and forfeit what that have with a very small possibility of ever acheiving that same sort of lifestyle with a different carrier, albeit at a 48% paycut. You won't be able to achieve that same paycheck (post-cut) that late in life.
I would agree with you IF it was the same situation as USAir. At U, the pilot group was SLOWLY bled to death over the course of a couple of years. The end being that thousands of pilots were already furloughed before the "Big Question" came up. On top of that, there was a HUGE demopgraphic gap at U, where there were hundereds of pilots furloughed for several years before hiring fired up again in 1998.
In the case of NWA, the "question" will be called in the next couple of months, as management seems to be hell bent on getting an "agreement" as soon as possible. This will occur before any massive furloughs.
Nu