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Jetblue 190 Question

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There will, mark my words, WILL be two seperate seniority lists. (This will allow JB to sell off the E190 and crews if they decide they want too)

Neeleman (SP?) is not stupid. (Nor can you teach an old dog new tricks.) David has made his money by building and selling things. Again, he is not stupid. He won't let go of the JB name anytime soon, but he will be spinning off and selling his own Commuter, I.E. Jet Blue Lite (e-190 commuter operation) He may even end up selling it to US Air after they liquidate most of what is now called US AIR. US Air will sell most of its assets and manuever itself into a position to start over. This time it will be with one type aircraft and it probably will be with JB's E190 serving Jet Blue routes.

As soon as the inherent problems with operating more than one Aircraft really begin affecting the bottom line, David will sell off the Aircraft and crews. Mark my words fellas.
 
Actually the 170's ARE operated by USAir. It is U's callsign, U's mainline 121 certificate, U's pilots. They only call it by another name so they can have the pilots on another contract and pay them dirtbag wages.
So lets say in the distant future, say 10 years from now (assuming USAir pulls out of the hole they are in) a guy gets hired on the 170, he is a new hire and therefore not a furloughed USair guy, does he have a right to go fly any other equipment at USair? Lets flip it, say UsAir takes ALL their furloughees back then furloughs again, do those pilots automatically go to the top of the E170 list? If the answer to either one of those questions is no then the USAir pilots dropped the ball. Better to have "dirtbag" wages at the mainline AND the ability to bid the 170 in order to keep their jobs or just because they have a wife that makes more than they do and they want the quality of life than to create an independant company to fly the dirtbag jets.

I work for Continental Express. When I was hired in 1998, it was one big happy family. CAL owned Express, we had a flow through agreement that allowed for movement between the companies, Gordon was my CEO and we were even considered one employee group for representational purposes.
NOW- CAL sold Express, there is no Flow thru so CAL pilots lost their furlough protection and Express pilots lost their career enhancement. The CAL and Express pilots are divided and you will probably see a split in the CALALPA MEC and to top it all off the CEO of ExpressJet now wants to buy another airline and disclude us from flying at that airline too.

I'll say this one more time, ALL JET EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE FLOWN UNDER ONE SENIORITY LIST, ANYTHING LESS IS A SETUP FOR DISASTER. Whats happening at USAir is less than ONE LIST therefore the PILOTS will get screwed one day. Probably the same day they decide that they arent being paid enough to fly the 170, thats when they will lose all rights to USair mainline.

There will, mark my words, WILL be two seperate seniority lists. (This will allow JB to sell off the E190 and crews if they decide they want too)
Highly doubtful. The reason there is one list over there is because Neeleman didn't think that another airline could provide the level of service that his employees do, plus he would have little control over the crews flying those airplanes if he outsourced meaning if there was some kind of dispute between the regional and their managment, JetBlue would lose out. At least Dave could try to fix the problem if there were some kind of dispute.
Neeleman (SP?) is not stupid. (Nor can you teach an old dog new tricks.) David has made his money by building and selling things. Again, he is not stupid. He won't let go of the JB name anytime soon, but he will be spinning off and selling his own Commuter, I.E. Jet Blue Lite (e-190 commuter operation) He may even end up selling it to US Air after they liquidate most of what is now called US AIR. US Air will sell most of its assets and manuever itself into a position to start over. This time it will be with one type aircraft and it probably will be with JB's E190 serving Jet Blue routes.
So, Usair will soon be Jetblue's regional? Thats a bit of a stretch don't you think. I think Jetblue, Airtran, Southwest and ATA are going to merge into one carrier named Air Bluetrans West and destroy all the other airlines. My theory is about as likly as yours.
As soon as the inherent problems with operating more than one Aircraft really begin affecting the bottom line, David will sell off the Aircraft and crews. Mark my words fellas.
The Boyd company recently went over the "Myth" of one fleet type and their conclusion is that it is simply a myth. Done correctly, an airline could keep its costs as low as SWA with multiple fleet types. They even went as far as to say that SWA would likly realize this in the near future and add a new fleet type. All I know is that the Boyd Company is rarely wrong. So who knows. However I do tend to believe that the single fleet type theory is a little overrated.
Mr HAT, sorry for my lack of airline vocabulary. I am not an airline pilot, never have been, so some of the industry lingo I am still learning. Sorry for the incompetence.
No worries man, there are plenty of other silly terms to screw up. Bidding other equipment within a single company is simply bidding other equipment. A flowthrough is an agreement between a regional airline and a major airline where the pilots of the regional company can "flowthrough" (IE no interview or anything) to the major company. You are in effect getting a new job, at a new company without the hassle of interviewing or anything else. The converse is that the pilots of the major airline usually have a "flowback" meaning that if they get furloughed from THEIR company, they can have a job at the regional company....sometimes at the top or middle of the list of the regional so they may in effect be hired by the regional as a captain or a very senior first officer. The pilots of the regional would be displaced in order to make room for the furloughed major airline pilots.

Only two companies have had flowthrough agreements, Continental Express and American Eagle. The Continental Express flowthrough is expired and no longer in effect. The Eagle one is about to be torn down I believe.

Whats most important for you is to hurry up and get on with whoever has the fastest upgrade times on an aircraft that has a gross weight of 20,000lbs or higher.....preferably a jet.

Sorry for jumping on you, I didn't realize that you wern't in the industry yet. I get tired of seeing seasoned airline pilots calling Embraer Equipment "Regional Jets" especially when the E195 is larger than the smallest 737....it's like they cant get it through their thick skulls that by calling it a regional jet they are actually hurting themselves by bringing their current equipment CLOSER to a regional jet. They also cant understand that if a major airline fly's an Embraer airplane, its actually a VERY good thing and only helps to further the career rather than starting a "dirtbag" company to fly Embraers which only serves to fragment and divide us further therefore degrading the industry. You'll understand my frustration when you get here and see how shortsighted many of the major airline guys actually are.
 
They also cant understand that if a major airline fly's an Embraer airplane, its actually a VERY good thing

Mr. Hat,

What Major airline do you fly the E145 for? Didn't your momma tell you, Don't talk about things you don't know about. Just makes you sound "stupider"

As a commuter fella, how can you talk about what is good or not good for us? I hate to bust your chops, but you are very opinionated about this subject and it seems to me that you don't really have a dog in the fight. Fly your 145 and keep the dream alive. Hopefully you will get hired by a major someday. You don't really want to make it to a major some day just to find out that you are going to fly an RJ do you? I can tell you that if my "major" airline buys up a bunch of junk RJ's I am going to be very disappointed.
.
 
Ouch, I sat on my balls again. Man these things were great in college but have become a HUGE burden lately.
 
Quote

What’s most important for you is to hurry up and get on with whoever has the fastest upgrade times on an aircraft that has a gross weight of 20,000lbs or higher.....preferably a jet.


Thanks for the info MRHAT.

That is the question, what regional would that be? Mesa? I don’t know?

I do not see the harm in a Major Airline operating RJ’s. Times are changing and a company must be dynamic enough to offer a product that is marketable and profitable. That does not mean they have to pay "dirtbag" wages. Why not have a starting salary of 50K for pilots and just give a raise every year? I think we have to look outside the box here. I understand that CASM and revenue per vehicle differs, but would it not be better to get a fairly decent salary over your entire career, rather then have 10 years of real fruitful pay. From a personal investment standpoint you would be way ahead. I mentioned earlier that we should stop correlating success with size of equipment and focus on da money.

Mark





 
hopeful said:
There will, mark my words, WILL be two seperate seniority lists. (This will allow JB to sell off the E190 and crews if they decide they want too)

Neeleman (SP?) is not stupid. (Nor can you teach an old dog new tricks.) David has made his money by building and selling things. Again, he is not stupid. He won't let go of the JB name anytime soon, but he will be spinning off and selling his own Commuter, I.E. Jet Blue Lite (e-190 commuter operation) He may even end up selling it to US Air after they liquidate most of what is now called US AIR. US Air will sell most of its assets and manuever itself into a position to start over. This time it will be with one type aircraft and it probably will be with JB's E190 serving Jet Blue routes.

As soon as the inherent problems with operating more than one Aircraft really begin affecting the bottom line, David will sell off the Aircraft and crews. Mark my words fellas.
Without going into length I will say this; the only thing you got right was the spelling of David's last name. I will assume that you have never met the man and from someone that has, you are way off with your theory. If you are seriously interested in making future predictions, I suggest reading Flying High, a new book out about David. It will give your a different perspective I think. And remember, David is only a 5% owner. We do have a Board of Directors by the way.

C yaaaa:cool:
 
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What Major airline do you fly the E145 for?
ExpressJet, Look it up, it IS a major airline. We are the only major flying the E145 at this time. However that is neither here nor there, what I was talking about is having multiple airlines flying the same route structure. For example Delta, ASA, Comair, Chitaqua (or however it's spelled) ACA and on.
Didn't your momma tell you, Don't talk about things you don't know about. Just makes you sound "stupider"
Thats funny, I almost said the same thing about your post.​
As a commuter fella, how can you talk about what is good or not good for us? I hate to bust your chops, but you are very opinionated about this subject and it seems to me that you don't really have a dog in the fight.
I can read furlough statistics and I can read union contracts. I have watched YOUR pay rates drop like flys, YOUR routes being shifted to other airlines, YOUR jobs being given away to other pilots and YOUR airplanes get closer and closer to RJ status in the last 5 years or so. So now that you've given your job away, taken pay cuts to keep what little you still have, gotten furloughed while foreign pilots are flying routes that YOU used to for YOUR airline I can only ask where YOUR big dog is? What happens when those crappy Embraer 170's/190s end up at some "regional" with some eager "kid" flying them for your airline? The Embraers may end up replacing YOUR 737's directly. And just because you major guys have bought the lie wholeheartedly, the Embraers and their pilots will be operated at a cost that you could never accept on your high and mighty 737 so you don't stand a chance in this new world of cost cutting. Is that a threat? Nope, but assuming you ARE actually a major airline pilot, you better watch your back because this stuff is getting closer to you every day. The more you allow your company to shift flying jobs away from your airline, the worse off you are.
Fly your 145 and keep the dream alive. Hopefully you will get hired by a major someday. You don't really want to make it to a major some day just to find out that you are going to fly an RJ do you? I can tell you that if my "major" airline buys up a bunch of junk RJ's I am going to be very disappointed.
All I have to say is that WHEN your airline buys up a bunch of RJ's (Because they will, these airlines follow eachother around like sheep) you better insist that they are flown by YOUR pilots on YOUR seniority list. Don't you worry about me. If I end up getting hired only to fly an E190, it would'nt be the worst thing that ever happened, I'd actually be quite happy because I would know that my job wouldn't be outsourced sometime in the distant future. Besides, I could end up in a DC9 which is far smaller than the E190.
 
What did Neeleman do with Morris?
What did Neeleman do with WestJet?
What about the computer reservation system?
Has he EVER stood by anything that he has started?
His track record speaks for itself.

5% of JBLU's current market cap is still $120,000,000. 00
Not a bad profit for 5 years worth of work. Now I know that he just signed an extension, he's contracted all the way out to 2008 or 2009. That's another 5 years, my guess is that's when he says Adios. By year 10, B6 will no longer be a start up and will start to feel some of the pain that al the other airlines feel.

I read Nuts too talk about kool Aid
 
That is the question, what regional would that be? Mesa? I don’t know?
I really don't know the upgrade times at the other smaller airlines....A good place to start your quest would be to ask questions about upgrade times at different airlines on the "regional" side of this board. My airline is hiring and I expect upgrade times to be in the 3 to 4 year range (ExpressJet). We only operate E145/135's.
That does not mean they have to pay "dirtbag" wages. Why not have a starting salary of 50K for pilots and just give a raise every year?
That is what we are trying to do at ExpressJet but it is much harder than that. The National Mediation Board looks at the other E145 operators in the industry and won't let us break that rate by too much. If 50 seat jet pay is to come up, it will have to be an industry wide effort. Currently, Mesa is the lowest paid and Comair is the highest paid.
Good luck! Try ExpressJet, it really is the place to be in my opinion.
 
turn&pull said:
As a Regional Cpt/Check-airman there is no way I would take a job at JB only to take a 40k pay cut and then upgrade to the 190 and make less than I am making right now. With those pay rates you better start shopping for pilots at Perdue.
Ouch, now that was uncalled for. Sounds like you are a little bitter at, or jealous of, graduates of a university program because they got an opportunity you didn't. That's completely discounting the fact that ex-135 pilots are clamoring for those same "low-paying" jobs as those college graduates, but nowhere do I sense your disdain for them.

IMO, Jetblue's leaked E190 rates are what average STARTING pay should be on the CR2/E145. As of today, they aren't. If you are making a good living flying a 145 at your current carrier, and don't want to take a pay cut to fly bigger equipment, good for you. Don't make the move, keep making decent money, and work within your own union to increase your wages in spite of being low-balled by other carriers.

If I was offered an E190 FO position at Jetblue at those wages with less than 1500/500, would I take it? Yes. If I were in your position (RJ captain), would I take it? No - there's no compensation incentive. I won't sell myself, my family, or my profession short just to fly a bigger airplane, and it doesn't sound like you will either. Good luck with SWA, and I honestly mean that.




And you won't find any pilots at "Perdue", only chicken. Keep looking, though...
 
ExpressJet, Look it up, it IS a major airline.Good luck convincing your passengers of that. You guys are the commuter for Continental Airlines. "Man I hate flying on these puddle jumpers. I wish Continental would put 'real' airplanes on these routes." Ever Heard That! I have!
 
turn&pull said:
As a Regional Cpt/Check-airman there is no way I would take a job at JB only to take a 40k pay cut and then upgrade to the 190 and make less than I am making right now. With those pay rates you better start shopping for pilots at Perdue.
...or at least a place where the pilots can actually spell Purdue!

GP
 
Could this be the scenario? JB mgt needs to give Wall Steet good news in the wake of the lower profit margins / high fuel costs reports. So they set the E190 payrates low initially with the intention of slowly and quietly raising them later.

My apologies if this idea has already been posted.
 
G4G5 said:
What did Neeleman do with Morris?
What did Neeleman do with WestJet?
What about the computer reservation system?
Has he EVER stood by anything that he has started?
His track record speaks for itself.

5% of JBLU's current market cap is still $120,000,000. 00
Not a bad profit for 5 years worth of work. Now I know that he just signed an extension, he's contracted all the way out to 2008 or 2009. That's another 5 years, my guess is that's when he says Adios. By year 10, B6 will no longer be a start up and will start to feel some of the pain that al the other airlines feel.

I read Nuts too talk about kool Aid
Morris=Sold (he was a co-founder)
Westjet=Left/Quit (he was more or less a Consultant)
Open Skies=Sold (he was a co-founder, and JB uses it as well as Westjet and Airtran and a few others)
And yes, he stands by Jetblue, very strongly I might add. He doesn't need the money for selling out JB, he already has more than 120 million anyway. Like I said in my previous post, I have met (and know quite well FYI) the man and he's not in this for the money. And if you read Nuts "too" I will assume you read Flying High. Your take on it is your opinion and you are entitled to that. I just happen to think you are wrong, that's all. If you end up being right, I am happy for you. That would make me wrong, and guess what, that's OK too. Been there before and I am sure I will be there again. But one thing that ALL of you (not just you G4G5) don't understand is that if Jetblue went away tomorrow, I would still be happy with what we have accomplished and with the money I have made so far. That doesn't mean that I don't care about the future, it just means I am happy with the present and past and have no plans to be paranoid about the future. In other words, when will you Jetblue bashers realize that you can't rattle us?

C yaaa:D
 
jetblue320 said:
I have met (and know quite well FYI) the man and he's not in this for the money.
Somebody needs a drug test.


On the recruiting issue I predict JB will have no problem hiring from the ranks at Mesa. They are well qualified. After all they are quite adept at grabbing their ankles and staring at the floor while ...........

Well you get my drift.
 
embdrvr said:
Somebody needs a drug test.


On the recruiting issue I predict JB will have no problem hiring from the ranks at Mesa. They are well qualified. After all they are quite adept at grabbing their ankles and staring at the floor while ...........

Well you get my drift.
Well, actually no I don't. If you like taking it up the rear, stay where you are. I am sure there will be many of the 10000 applicants that will be chomping at the bit to start class at JB. I have only heard of 2 or 3 (at this forum anyway) that are no longer interested. I think maybe YOU need a drug test.

C yaaa
 
Where do they find you guys?
The E-190 payscale is pathetic. Guys that get locked in to that 190 will be screwed. You can make more money flying an RJ. Next thing you know Nerlemann will be talking pay cuts because of the "ultra competetive environment" and you guys will be bending over like Mesa and you'll probably like it. That's the strange part. Nerleman is not much different than Lorenzo. He just gives you a bottle of wine afterwards. The difference is Lorenzo went to existing companies and got the employees to take pay cuts. Nerleman started JB from scratch so he can find dupes willing to work at bargain basement wages. Watch wait and see. JB A-320 growth will mysteriously slow up while 190's show up everywhere.

A while back you wanted an exemption from the 8 hour flying in 24 rule. What else will you do to damage this industry? JetBlue is poison. No way in hell I'd even think about putting in an app.

You're going to be thinking a lot differently about your company 10 years from now. Mark my words.
 
jetblue320 said:
Morris=Sold (he was a co-founder)
Westjet=Left/Quit (he was more or less a Consultant)
Open Skies=Sold (he was a co-founder, and JB uses it as well as Westjet and Airtran and a few others)
And yes, he stands by Jetblue, very strongly I might add. He doesn't need the money for selling out JB, he already has more than 120 million anyway. Like I said in my previous post, I have met (and know quite well FYI) the man and he's not in this for the money. And if you read Nuts "too" I will assume you read Flying High. Your take on it is your opinion and you are entitled to that. I just happen to think you are wrong, that's all. If you end up being right, I am happy for you. That would make me wrong, and guess what, that's OK too. Been there before and I am sure I will be there again. But one thing that ALL of you (not just you G4G5) don't understand is that if Jetblue went away tomorrow, I would still be happy with what we have accomplished and with the money I have made so far. That doesn't mean that I don't care about the future, it just means I am happy with the present and past and have no plans to be paranoid about the future. In other words, when will you Jetblue bashers realize that you can't rattle us?

C yaaa:D
I am not bashing B6

Neeleman is in his mid 40's. Let's say that he is approx 50 when his contract expires. If his curret 5% is worth approx $120 mil what do you think it will be worth in 5 years?

What I am saying is, if I was 50 years old with $150+ million. I would retire. What would you do?

By that point B6 will no longer be a start up and it's start up advantage will be starting to fade. The stock price will have founds it's target, no more growth (see LUV). The current Legacy vs LCC mess will have sorted itself out, by that point the water will have seeked it's own level (no more CH11 carriers to attack, the survivors will be paying the same wages).

Market share will be extremely difficult to increase, the carriers that survive will be in a much better place finaicially then B6's current prey. Upgrades won't be coming nearly as fast and sooner or later the music will stop and someone will be left in the 190 FO seat. Labor problems will just be starting. Ticket agents, FA's and even pilots will want the same pay as their counter parts. 10+ year old A320's, with 10+ year old IFE's, costs will definatly be up. The CSM's will be the same as everyone elses. The B6 start up advantage will be gone and they will be just like every other airline.

The fun of running the airline will be over, I have met Neeleman and you say you know him. Is this the type of stuff that he will enjoy? This is reality eventually everything I mentioned will happen. History has proven this.

Give me the reasons why you think that he will hang around? I know I wouldn't. Would you?

Again I am not bashing, just being realistic.
 
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The competitive environment right now allows for an $83 round trip ticket on AA, UAL, ATA from ORD/MDW to MCO... So, with that in mind, who's making money on that? I think JBLU has the right model in place to ride out bad times and succeed while the going is good. The 190 is over a year away and believe me the guys who choose the plane in the beginning will be making more in the long run after upgrading within 6 months than the guys choosing the Bus. By the time the F/Os on the 190 get stuck there for 2+ years, there will be an increase in their payscale-- gee, just like what happened here a few years back with the Bus. I'd rather be here riding out the storm in the black quarter after quarter than trying to redesign the way of doing business after losing gobs of money and wondering what the heck I'm gonna lose next from the impending cuts that you know are coming!
 
G4G5 said:
What I am saying is, if I was 50 years old with $150+ million. I would retire. What would you do?
With a 150+ million and being 50 years old, I would start to have a series of wives that were taller, younger and blonder than the previous. That would insure having to raise more capital for my ventures! Gotta go. My short blonde wife just woke up!:eek:
 
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