jetflyer said:
Somebody on another thread posted once an eye-opening study saying that the Oil Companies SHUT DOWN ON PURPOSE tens of refineries over the last twenty years so they could get to 95-100% utilization of refineries and increase their profits.
Well DUH!
Oil companies are not going to operate extra refineries when the price of fuel is so low (ie. 95-2000) that they aren't making much money. It's basic productivity. Most of those refineries that were closed down were done so because modifying them to make the newer blends of gas was cost prohibitive when gas was 1.15 a gallon.
Lately after 2 years of high gas prices and profits they are making plans to expand their refineries and restart some of the mothballed ones. as well as possibly building a few new ones in areas where transport costs warrant it.
Here is a news flash for everyone.
Oil companines are in existance only to make a profit for their share holders. If they can charge 5$ a gallon and still sell the same amount of gas they will.
However competition keeps them from getting out of hand. If Exxon trys to sell gas at 3.50 then Shell will undercut them by charging 3.40.
Capatilisim, supply & demand, and competition are the reason gas prices are as cheap they are now.
That's right I said Gas is cheap!!!
The 100 year average price for a gallon of gas adjusted for inflation is about 2.50 a gallon. The 100 year average price for a barrel of oil adjusted for inflation is 65$.
FYI, adjusted for inflation gas was $5 bucks a gallon in 1979.
We are actualy paying exactly what we should for a gallon of gas.
We are not running out of oil any time soon. What we are running out of is the cheap, easy to get to, easy to refine oil that we have enjoyed for so long. There is plenty of oil in undeveloped feilds all over the world, it's just more expensive than it's worth right now. Once oil stays above 65$ per barrel these feilds will be developed. In fact west Texas still has plenty of oil, however extracting it wasn't profitable at $20 per barrel.
There is also the shale oil deposits that have never been mined. Currently the cost to extract this oil is about 70$ per barrel.