I just started reading this thread today and boy does it remind me of the (not so) good old days of last January here at Mesaba.
It starts off with the annoucement of the TA and everyone is happy.
"Hooray, I hear it is industry leading!"
This quickly morphs into "Wait a minute maybe it is not so great"
Which then leads to " this thing is going down in flames for sure!! The pay rates sux0r and I'm voting no. 80% will vote NO!"
An ALPA rep gets on and says "wait a minute go to the road shows to hear what we have to say. And remember it is all about the W2."
After the road show the captains (who have more to lose) and those from IAH (Most of our yes votes were from MSP based captains or people who were from MSP) respond, "I'm voting yes this is the best we can do."
The FO's respond "You're sell outs! we need to strike!"
And in the end the road shows convince just enough FO's to vote yes and the thing passes 66-33.
When I first saw Mesaba's TA I thought it was going down 80-20. After a week I thought it was going to be a close no vote. Then once I went to a road show I knew it was all over...it was gonna pass 60-40. The actual number was 66% yes.
It is (hilarious, uncanny, scary sad? Fill in the blank) how Coex is following the same curve we did.
So yes Coex guys and gals, pretty much no matter what this thing will pass. With the exception of Comair all regionals pass the first one. It is super disappointing to some that your next chance won't be for six more years but don't worry the pain goes away after a few months. It's been about 9 months for me and it doesn't hurt (much) anymore.
Good luck y'all