cybourg10
Well-known member
- Joined
- May 11, 2006
- Posts
- 481
Heyas,
Agreed. Despite what the pundits say, domestic and international traffic has fallen off a cliff. Oil could be free and it wouldn't make any difference. There are no passengers at any price.
The recession is going to deepen into a full blown depression, with out of control inflation. Expect double digit interest rates and unemployment numbers. Think 1977 except that this time even the rich people are broke.
My guess: Parking another 20-30 mainline aircraft, AT A MINIMUM, plus a WHOLE passel of DCI aircraft.
Furloughs later in 09. DAL side first, then NWA side 2-3 months later.
No recalls until mid 2011, at the earliest.
Nu
Doom and gloom, even the most conservative forecasts show our economy improving in late 09 or early 2010. Unemployment hits its high of 8-9% in 2010 and there is no way we see double digit interest rates. I am not the smartest but I do know not to fall into this over-hyped fear of a new great depression. Will it be a bad recession? Yes, but we will not be re-living the early 1930s. As an Obama supporter I have not used "chosen one" to describe our current president, the only people who use that term for him are the unimformed hard core right wingers. American enginuity will save us as is always does, Obama is just one man that will be much better for us than GWB but not as great as a Reagan or Lincoln IMHO. You could be right and in which case I will admit it with humility but until that day I am cautiously optimistic.