FlyBoeingJets
YES, that's NICE
- Joined
- Mar 20, 2003
- Posts
- 1,802
Wow. This proposal by Delta management has a lot of ramifications. I thought management, and labor, were short sighted waiting this long for going BK and working on rates. But by waiting they get bigger cuts. I am not happy or enthusiastic about the new rates, but it might be what saves Delta for the next 5 years. Like the K-car for Chrysler. But it looks like UAL -1 or -10. A HUGE change in roles.
But, Mainline gets the "order" for 100 seaters. It may not be a win for labor with the rates sucking, but the alternative was for them to go to regionals like Mesa. When UAL and DAL fly A-320 and E-190 sized airplanes at JetBlue, or lower, costs Neeleman and company will face a real threat. Not like Song. The market sees this as they downgrade JetBlue debt. I never understood the theory of keeping costs at Delta significantly higher than Airtran and Jetblue and hope everything turns out o.k. But it did work for a time. That time is now gone. I used to think things move quickly in this industry but they actually move slowly. But move they do. Just think, if Delta had done half of this cut years ago Airtran and Jetblue would be but a memory. But that was an impossibility. Too many people near enough to retirement with too much to lose.
The chest beating about bringing down the profession is not going to fly the next couple of years. The guys looking out for their jobs will likely tell them to shut up and color. The situation is too dire. There is no more financial room left for it.
Now that management has labor against the wall, they are asking for what they really want. They will ensure labor costs are low enough to make a profit with high oil and will be laughing all the way to the bank when oil falls or tickets go up. They will be saying a deal is a deal and stall on any pay raises. Airline negotiating and contracts haven't changed that much. Management is setting up to follow the years of big losses with years of big profit.
I thought we might be entering a new era a couple of years ago. I would have liked to see pay cuts until profitability but with a kicker. If the jet fuel bill falls, pay rises a percentage. Instead we see just another big cut with some profit sharing.
Has anyone noticed after NWA and DAL it will be SWA's turn to offer pay cuts? There are those at SWA that say this is ridiculous, but it is coming.
And the regionals. Boy I feel for you folks. There is a world of pain in store for you when the 100 seaters get going. Maybe for SWA too, but even more for the average regional.
But, Mainline gets the "order" for 100 seaters. It may not be a win for labor with the rates sucking, but the alternative was for them to go to regionals like Mesa. When UAL and DAL fly A-320 and E-190 sized airplanes at JetBlue, or lower, costs Neeleman and company will face a real threat. Not like Song. The market sees this as they downgrade JetBlue debt. I never understood the theory of keeping costs at Delta significantly higher than Airtran and Jetblue and hope everything turns out o.k. But it did work for a time. That time is now gone. I used to think things move quickly in this industry but they actually move slowly. But move they do. Just think, if Delta had done half of this cut years ago Airtran and Jetblue would be but a memory. But that was an impossibility. Too many people near enough to retirement with too much to lose.
The chest beating about bringing down the profession is not going to fly the next couple of years. The guys looking out for their jobs will likely tell them to shut up and color. The situation is too dire. There is no more financial room left for it.
Now that management has labor against the wall, they are asking for what they really want. They will ensure labor costs are low enough to make a profit with high oil and will be laughing all the way to the bank when oil falls or tickets go up. They will be saying a deal is a deal and stall on any pay raises. Airline negotiating and contracts haven't changed that much. Management is setting up to follow the years of big losses with years of big profit.
I thought we might be entering a new era a couple of years ago. I would have liked to see pay cuts until profitability but with a kicker. If the jet fuel bill falls, pay rises a percentage. Instead we see just another big cut with some profit sharing.
Has anyone noticed after NWA and DAL it will be SWA's turn to offer pay cuts? There are those at SWA that say this is ridiculous, but it is coming.
And the regionals. Boy I feel for you folks. There is a world of pain in store for you when the 100 seaters get going. Maybe for SWA too, but even more for the average regional.
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