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) Translation:
Oops, we are always looking out for the west pilots but I guess this one got past us, too bad. But you gotta believe we'll be looking out for you next time.
Honest.
I believe that this furlough was predominantly a negotiating tactic. After any change in the USAPA/West court battle, a unified pilot group will fight in earnest, and cohesively (this is not a short term thing, and may take longer than summer 09)
Hmmmmm world wide recession bordering on depression, 140k jobs lost in a week and you think their will be a recall at the worst positioned airline in the industry?
I would expect to see more furloughs for the next year or so. The "summer ramp up" will be very small this year. Who the hell can afford to go on vacation and what company in the US is going to increase spending for conventions or business travel.
Hmmmmm world wide recession bordering on depression, 140k jobs lost in a week and you think their will be a recall at the worst positioned airline in the industry?
I would expect to see more furloughs for the next year or so. The "summer ramp up" will be very small this year. Who the hell can afford to go on vacation and what company in the US is going to increase spending for conventions or business travel.
If the company loses the RJ arb. they will just remove the offending rj's from the schedule and apologize for there lack of oversight and maybe some $. They probably won't get Airbus/737 back from the leassor's to cover those routes.
If the company loses both the RJ arb and the Block hour arb then you could see a positive shake up in the staffing.
The only way sure fired way to see recalls is to get the East off LOA 93 and get on to a modern contract with better work rules/days off/vacation and not flying 90 hour lines, that will require at least a 3% increase in pilot staffing. But USAPA is not motivated to get off LOA 93...so here we sit.
The US Airways and America West collective bargaining agreements will be
modified to allow for a combined maximum of ninety-three (93) CRJ-900, or
other aircraft within the seating and maximum take-off weight limits specified in
Paragraph B above, to be operated in revenue service at any given time at Express
Carriers except that for every two (2) aircraft in excess of the combined 360
aircraft (excluding EMB 190 aircraft) operated at both US Airways and America
West, that are added to revenue service in the mainline fleet, the Company may
allow three (3) additional CRJ-900, or other aircraft within the seating and
maximum take-off weight limits specified in paragraph B above, to be operated in
revenue service at Express Carriers.
Are we helping Kirby manage some expectations now? Too bad ALPA's gone, because with talk like that the old CLT reps likely would have invited you to a little mountain retreat and loved you up. And I'm not talking some Deliverance, backwoods stuff, I'm talkin' a real nice rub down, a good glass of wine....you know. Lance down there in CLT would just love the way you're babbling on....worst positioned airline....oh....that makes him sooooooo HOT!!!
I do, and obviously I put money on it.
Worst positioned? Check your altimeter setting, homes. International revenue is plummeting, domestic is whupping ass. No one saw it coming, but US Steel has gotten lucky in that regard. They gots cash, they don't pay anyone anything close to industry pay rates. I would ask for you to specify the negative position, but I believe you have not done enough research/contemplation. I know you are a bright guy, I enjoy reading your posts.
Everybody else "gets it." I am not saying that the pilot groups (and ther are very much still 2) will hug it out.
What I am saying is that when it becomes apparent that your cause is lost in fighting your brother, the only reasonable course is to rebuild and fight for what are now mutual goals.
I do think that a judge will make this clear to either the leadership or most likely the pilots of the losing side. The weak link is hoping for them to be "reasonable."
Notice I did not get specific. I have my opinions, but it affects me not at all, and I do not wish to initiate another poop fling-fest.
Sorry but after 25 years in this business I'm pretty skeptical about any success stories via this process.
My guess is in this environment there's no way in he!! they're bringing back mainline hulls & pilots. They'll either eliminate a bunch of marginal markets they were about to vacate anyway, or replace the large rj's with smaller types that don't
violate the contract.
No managing of expectations; just look at reality.
The airline is pretty much back where it was in '03, or 1991 for that matter. Out of control unit costs that dwarf all the competition, a Western operation that's completely incable of competing with Southwest, and an airline that's hardly the "carrier of choice". And Bk can't be far ahead unless things turn around in a hurry. We've all seen this act before; what's different this time?
I'd plan on an indefinite furlough, certainly not recalls.
I kills me that some think this is all a negotiating ploy to "manage expectations"
LOOK AT THE PAST 30YEARS OF USAIR'S EXISTANCE. NOTHING HAS CHANGED EXCEPT THE PAINT ON THE AIRPLANES.
Well, in fairness I'd say 20 years. Prior to that they seemed to be sitting pretty. Then two mergers that didn't make any sense; done only to fend off a takeover. And no vision. Ordered F100's and 737's. Built up small-town PIT. No interest in big airplanes or international 'till it was way too late. Look at airlines like Delta and American in the early 80's. Not much international either. They bet big and look where they are today.
... I'm not trying to rehash the who saved who argument ....