ASA is having some major pains right now. We are loosing about a pilot a day. They are going to all of the usual suspects, with DAL leading the pack.
On top of that we are having issues getting people trained and back on line. That should clear up in a month or so as more instructors come on line, but only if they do not keep loosing them.
There really is no growth to speak of. Rumors are rampant about a 40% reduction in our DCI flying once DAL comes out of court protection. It is a rumor but it is coming from many different area. We have lost many 10+ year guys, and even some 18 year ones to start at SWA or other places. It was much like this last time the contract was dragged too far. We have a meeting with the National Mediation Board in early April, and we will see where this goes. I would say that something needs to happen or this place will literally fade away.
I think that your upgrade here will be a quicker one than people are saying, but it can change at a moments notice. If we loose 20 aircraft and people stop leaving then it may be longer than it is now. If we keep our aircraft and people continue to leave I would say two to three years tops. A lot of the pilots that we are hiring do not have the ICAO mins and may actually get bypassed when their number come up. Basically it is anyones guess.
My suggestion is to look at places that the majors like to do business with these days. SKW and CHQ are on the top of that list. Best of Luck.