great cornholio
Are you threatening me??
- Joined
- Jul 28, 2003
- Posts
- 792
I think Papps is onto something we all realize deep down. Staffing, hours flown and general frustration all impact the safety culture. The question is, is it enough of an impact to be so detrimental to safety that an accident is likely to occur?
TSA's upgrade requirements just went down to ATP mins also. With the new hires we are getting now the total time in the cockpit could be as low as 1700 combined. To me that seems a bit scarey. Plus since we only have the 145 we don't technically have "green on green" any more because all of the capts have 75 hours in the plane as FO's. So in theory it could be both guys first flight off of IOE.
Is this enough to cause a crash? I hope not, but I wouldnt be surprised if a RJ crashes this winter. This didnt used to be an issue for a few reasons. The first is that the 200 hour new hires where few and far between, but are now getting more and more common. The other reason was that most guys in the left seat and hundreds or even thousands of hours in the left seat of that plane. And with the slow upgrade rate guys with less than a few hundred hours in the left seat were few and far between. So it was slim that a 200 hour FO would be paired with a new Capt. Now Capts are leaving in big numbers so the green capts are more and more common and the chance that a 200 hour guy will get paired up with a green capt are pretty good right now. Like I said I hope this isnt enough to cause a crash, but it seems to me like it more than likely will. Although we all know nothing will happen (FAA rule change wise) until we kill enough pax to make it worth their while.