lowecur
Well-known member
- Joined
- Sep 14, 2003
- Posts
- 2,317
The only way RJET will fly the 190 is if BB decides Republic can do better as an independent (a la Independence). Probably the only this will happen is if Airways or UAL goes Ch. 7. Yup, most likely. I also think there is another scenerio. You may see DL turn all their regional flying over to DCI, due to the demise of the SKYW operation(see below). You can darn sure bet as soon as Republic goes independent every single codeshare will drop Chautauqua, as most airlines have little interest in funding their direct competition. It depends if anyone needs the 170's, and only if they don't compete directly. I think Mesa, SKW, and RJET will evolve into hy-bred Regional for hire/+LCC.
AMR is going to get low-ball rates from APA to compete with Eagle for the (potential) 190 flying they will get. Airways has MidAtlantic to fly their 170s/190s, as long as they have the credit to keep receiving them. DALPA won't allow Connection to fly anything more than the 70 seaters already at CMR/ASA short of a Ch. 11 ruling, and if Connection does get them you can bet they'll be staffed with DAL furloughs. United is the wildcard, but they have SKW and Mesa to get through before offering 100 seaters to RJET. My feeling is the SKW DCI deal will end in the next 12 months. Greenjeans wants to close probably DFW and SLC as hubs. I don't believe the feed they are receiving from SKW will be required, and at that pt most of the CL65's will end up in DL's lap. I think they will turn them over to ASA/CMR and cancel all the other non DL regionals. They will probably cancel the remaining options on the CL's, as the incoming from SKW will be more than they need. 11 is probably the only all of this can be accomplished. I have, however, heard some rumors about a United J4J deal regarding the 170s/190s, although I have no evidence.
AMR is going to get low-ball rates from APA to compete with Eagle for the (potential) 190 flying they will get. Airways has MidAtlantic to fly their 170s/190s, as long as they have the credit to keep receiving them. DALPA won't allow Connection to fly anything more than the 70 seaters already at CMR/ASA short of a Ch. 11 ruling, and if Connection does get them you can bet they'll be staffed with DAL furloughs. United is the wildcard, but they have SKW and Mesa to get through before offering 100 seaters to RJET. My feeling is the SKW DCI deal will end in the next 12 months. Greenjeans wants to close probably DFW and SLC as hubs. I don't believe the feed they are receiving from SKW will be required, and at that pt most of the CL65's will end up in DL's lap. I think they will turn them over to ASA/CMR and cancel all the other non DL regionals. They will probably cancel the remaining options on the CL's, as the incoming from SKW will be more than they need. 11 is probably the only all of this can be accomplished. I have, however, heard some rumors about a United J4J deal regarding the 170s/190s, although I have no evidence.
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