This thread is about the age of retirement and we're talking about a merit system for advancement?
If you are serious about that I would say two things:
1. Not all that long ago (back in the 40s and 50s) advancement was based on a so-called "merit system". Before the modern contracts were fought for and won, the schedule you flew and whether or not you were a Captain were dependent on being allowed to advance. Buy off the crew schedulers with gin from London (imported by your very own self) and you had Christmas off.
As for upgrade, you had to be allowed. Based on what? Whether you were good? In whose opinion and how judged? Merit is pure subjectivity. Get on the bad side of the boss (forum posters beware!) and you'd be held back. Too outspoken? You're not ready. Not a team player? You're not ready. Super stud and good all around good guy? You get the nod even if you a not-so-hot pilot. The possibilities are endless.
That's the way it used to be.
Seniority, on the other hand, took the subjectivity out of it. You advanced - PROVIDING you didn't screw up badly as an FO, passed your upgrade, passed your PCs, passed your line checks and passed your medicals. Really, what more do you really want or need for an FO to move to the left seat?
The old system was a mess. The new system, to someone who is (or thinks themselves to be) better than the rest, can be frustrating. Still, it's better than the old system or the new-age merit system that, in the real world, is a utopian dream.
What you really want is to advance quicker, because the seniority system puts you in line. OK. But...YOU could be the one who doesn't advance due to some Chief Pilot who has a hard-on for you. What then?
There have been ups and downs in advancement due to the economy or the health of an airline. That's part of the business. Airlines aren't growing right now. The retirement age change to 65 imposed another delay on top of the economy. It couldn't have happened at a worse time. However, that delay taps out in December and the seniority/retirement game resets. Advancements due retirements again come into play. Growth and a healthy airline will provide the real impetus for advancement.
Dreaming of a merit-based system for advancement? Tried before; failed badly. It's just a dream.
Neither system is perfect, but the problems you are speaking of are easily fixed with tweaking and accountability.
To simply say that 'oh, you only advance due to how much ass you kiss' is the opinion of a inexperienced unionite who has never worked in the real world. In the real world, this is the reality. I have been a manager in a former life. Saying that you promote/hire just your buddies no matter how bad they are is stupid. If I did that, and the person I hired/promoted screwed up, then
I was the one that got the blame and had
MY position and career in jeopardy. A rating system from numerous sources, and somebody higher up that has to take blame if someone fails a checkride or bends and airplane is an easy solution to too much favoritism. Realistically, you will NEVER get rid of it. I mean, come on, how did most of you get your jobs at airlines? You knew so-and-so who wrote you a recommendation or visited the chief pilot on your behalf. I see it ALL THE TIME. People with lower qualifications getting called for interviews because they know the right person. It is how it is, and it will likely never change.
Should seniority be part of the equation? Absolutely. Should it be the ONLY part? No way in hell. It encourages incompetence, laziness, and apathy. That is precisely why, in the real world, nobody does that. If you had people running companies strictly based on how long they've been there, with no consideration for experience, skill, and other factors, the company would be out of business really soon. That is how the airlines do it, though, and that is why you have bad captains, lazy captains, and tons of stories from FO's about having to babysit guys that suck at their jobs. We have captains at my company that are really $hitty pilots, have failed upgrade training 3 times, and are still in command of a 200,000 lb airplane and personally responsible for hundreds of lives per day. That is UNACCEPTABLE. And don't give me the 'well they had to pass a checkride' excuse either. Anybody can pass a damn checkride if you give them enough chances.
Of course, the entire argument we are having is moot, as it ignores the entire point of the discussion. The seniority system is the biggest problem for career advancement that the airline industry has, simply because it limits the options for pilots so much. I flew corporate for a number of years. If someone started treating me like crap, increasing the cost of health insurance, cutting my pay, cutting my retirement, or something like that, I took my $30K to $50K type rating and got the hell out of there. I would then get another job with comparable or better pay and benefits, in the same seat, in the same type. Basically, companies had to COMPETE for my services, and any company that wanted to retain people had to pay them well and treat them right. Of course, you have the crappy companies that don't care, and it's OK. The worst charter/corporate job pays considerably more than any regional FO job, with a faster rate of advancement most of the time. Just like the regionals, you get in, do your time, and get out. But at least you can make a damn living.
At the airlines, thanks to the seniority system, you are stuck. If you've been there for 5 years, and you get tons of cuts, or are stuck in a stagnant seat, it sucks to be you. If you go anywhere else, you take a huge paycut and start over at the bottom, thanks to the seniority system. Airlines do not have to compete for pilots. The only real competition occurs at the bottom of the lists at regionals. It makes things considerably easier for managment, as they don't have to worry about their top experienced people leaving if they start to treat them like crap.
That is a huge problem. Of course, the system will probably never change because of unionites that worship the feet of the seniority system because they think it 'elimiates favoritism', and management loves it because it eliminates them having to compete for exprienced employees.
The whole system needs to be revamped, but it'll never happen.