pilotyip said:
Sirfly. Again you have not answered the question, if you raise pilot wages, you have to raise tickets prices. Higher tickets prices mean fewer riders, the legacy airlines understand that very well. Fewer tickets fewer pilots. And those being hired would most likely be ex-military the pilot of choice from the regulation days in 1970's, so you might make out under that plan but most people on this board would reap the benefit of the national senority list.
A rise in pilot wages does not necessarily drive an increase in ticket prices. A forced rise in pilot wages may compel management to find new efficiencies in other areas. While I agree in general that a rise in the cost of pilots for the airlines would generate a need to raise ticket prices since that is the easy answer, it is not a direct relationship as you suggest.
More importantly, however, you bring up the issue of the elasticity of demand for airline travel. I don't think any of us know what that curve looks like right now. An important factor in determining demand elasticity is the availablility of substitutes. If every airline was forced to pay pilots at least a national minimum pay scale, then each airline would be similarly impacted. No airline would suddenly become a bargain alternative simply because of a national, univeral pay scale. What about buses, cars, and trains. Consumers today have been conditioned to regard air travel as a normal, everyday thing not an elite thing the way it was in the day. I don't think any of us know to what degree and at what price points consumers today would opt to use these modes of transportation if air travel became more expensive. This is an issue that needs to be studied.
Finally, your assertion that ex-military pilots would be the primary benefactors of a National Seniority List is baseless. To begin with the 1970's were 30+ years ago. Simply because things may have been one way during the 1970's does not mean that things will be that way today. Times have changed. The composition of pilot groups has changed. There are many more civilian-background guys out there and they have more influence.
BoilerUP said:
I would say Rez sees things more clearly than most. As I said before, when coming up with solutions, you must be realistic. At this point in time, with dozens of domestic ALPA-represented airlines, how are you going to integrate everybody? Are you going to do it DOH - that would benefit the 21 year old bridge program FO and screw the 35 year old ex-military pilot. Are you going to do it by date of ATP - how would you be able to confirm that? How do you keep pilots from being free agents and jumping from one airline to another?
Yes, Boiler, you must be realistic. Let's be realistic for a few moments. To whom does the current framework we have for seniority and pay scales give the advantage to? Pilots or management? Who has the leverage? Pilots or management? Where do you see pay, benefits, and work rules headed if we stay the course? Better or worse? Look into the future and what do you see? Better or worse?
Boiler, in addition to being realistic, you must also have some vision. Imagine being a pilot and not having to wed yourself to the fortunes of a single company for an entire career. Imagine being a pilot where a strong union has enough leverage to negotiate better conditions for you and your family. No answers are perfect but some are better than others. A National Seniority List would have some drawbacks. No denying that. But our current system is rife with drawbacks that have left us with virtually no leverage and no power to stop the erosion.
You also must be creative. For example, to address your concerns about list integration, there are a thousand ways to do it. None of them would be perfect. However, off the top of my head, one method would be to do the initial list based on maybe 1) for civilian background guys, when they got their ATP, and 2) for military background guys, when they became certified as an aircraft commander for heavy guys or lead qualified for fighters. I'm not saying that that particular idea is even a good idea...it's just a brainstorm...so please don't jump all over it. The point is that there are solutions out there that would work and be equitable. It would just take some creativity, research, and thought to create a better overall environment for all of us. And...remember, the aim is not to create a perfect world but a better world than we have today.