sf3boy said:
Just wait until someday a guy gets enough cash put together to start flying 777's and goes straight to the flight schools to get his pilots and pay them 30k to sit in the right seat. Suddenly, all the majors' pilot contracts look pretty foolish and those mainline pilots might have just priced themselves out of a job.
I think statements like this pepetuate the "sky is falling" mentality. I don't think this will happen anytime soon, certainly in the near term, but could be 10-15 years off if pursued by some Lorenzorenstein type. Most flight school pilots are up to their eyeballs in student loans (like me), and wouldn't have an extra 20-30K to pony up for a job with a "major airline". I can't speak for those who have the "end justifies the means" mentality.
I hope and pray my contemporaries would see right through a ploy like that (pay us 20K and we'll pay you 40K a year as an A-319 FO) and would hold the line. Unfortunately, I know better, and there would be a few among us that would screw everybody over for the "prestige" of a major airline pilot.
This low-time flight-school college student will *not* PFT. Not for the 19 seat Junkstream here at Corpex, not for a EMB145, and certainly not for a Scarebus. I fly because it beats the heck out of an office job, but I expect to be fairly compensated for my duties and responsibilities. Hey, that sounds sorta like what the Mesaba guys and gals want!
My prediction: a deal signed in the 11th hour or within the first 24 hours of a strike. After no airline will fly the struck work, Mesaba (having read a case-study about the Comair strike) will give most, but not all, what ALPA demands to save face and the bottom line. Pay will be within 5%(plus or minus) of the Comair equivalent, with FOs getting a 9-15% increase in first year pay. NWA will cancel the contract for the Avros, Mesaba will go all-Saab, and mgmt will once again try to whipsaw the Airlink partners over the remaining CRJ orders. Hopefully, Mesaba gets enough CRJs to prevent massive furloughs.
Go get em' Mesaba ALPA. You deserve so much more than what you got!