Keep the Faith

[Dgpr]

Thanks Gut!

I'll take mine in Detroit Red Wings RED...

 

[LAZYB]

Poker is Life

So these are implied odds for our double gutshot draw...

To all NJA furloughs planning on returning:

Keep the faith guys and gals. The tide is turning.

Just this week, two more pilots announced openly on the boards they are leaving for other employment, and another announced his retirement.

In my fleet this week, one senior PIC retired and one sub-300 seniority PIC resigned for another job. Three more senior PIC's will retire before March and two junior PIC's are accepting airline recall before spring.

And those are just the ones I KNOW about. Resumes are flying and the number of job postings for airline, charter, and corporate are rising steadily. I expect attrition this year to be much higher than last.

The company will be VERY reluctant to recall prior to a new contract because it portrays weakness during negotiations and eliminates a bargaining chip. Nevertheless, I think this year's attrition might leave them with no choice.

Hang in there. We'll have RED lanyards waiting for you.

 

[gutshotdraw]

So these are implied odds for our double gutshot draw...

Exactamundo.

Wish I could call a floorman over to put the big stack on the clock....:angryfire

 

[G4dude]

I second what Gut said, in spades. It will be a PLEASURE to fly with the furloughees when they are back where they belong.

 

[Blueridgeflyer]

My money is still on an imminent recall with class dates beginning in April. They will likely bring back an initial 100-150 this year. I say this because we are 110% understaffed and that was the silly metric to which Sokol justified staffing levels. We all know that JH is meticulously following his predecessor's gameplan which isn't exactly well suited for the worlds preeminent luxury brand of transportation.

 

[Xcorporate]

How do you know your 110% understaffed? Unless you've taken delivery of a large number of airframes your still overstaffed. In terms of being preeminent luxury brand....Just about every NJA crew I see on the road looks more like a cargo dog run into the ground. From my point of view it just doesn't look like the same company. If I see that, surely your owners do too.

And even if you are somehow understaffed you guys just call TMC or EJM and secretly sell off the trip. No harm no foul........

Recalls didn't happen in November, December, and they aren't happening in April......

 

[Blueridgeflyer]

Just a hunch based on years of experience and keenly observing the organization as a frontline employee. The business model will not work particularly well if the primary reason for selloffs is as a stop gap to understaffing. I think you understand this but it's worth emphasizing. As far as the worlds preeminent brand I would tend to agree that NJA has struggled significantly in this endeavor and I'm not even 100% certain it wants to wear the label anymore ...at least not this EMT. To your point about QOL on the road you are correct. It has deteriorated significantly. But I believe in this pilot group and it's ability to collectively improve upon that area. But recalls will happen and I'm not alone in believing rather soon.

 

[JustPlaneTruth]

How do you know your 110% understaffed? Unless you've taken delivery of a large number of airframes your still overstaffed. In terms of being preeminent luxury brand....Just about every NJA crew I see on the road looks more like a cargo dog run into the ground. From my point of view it just doesn't look like the same company. If I see that, surely your owners do too.

And even if you are somehow understaffed you guys just call TMC or EJM and secretly sell off the trip. No harm no foul........

Recalls didn't happen in November, December, and they aren't happening in April......

Staffing modeling is based on demand not on airframes. Demand is really high right now and sales are strong so demand should continue to be strong. When whole shares are parsed down to 32 shares on a card it changes the response to demand methods significantly. NJ should have recalled pilots months ago so that it could be ready for the busy season. Money, good will, lost opportunity and brand all left on the table by poor decisions by the EMT.

 

[gunfyter]

and we should have had aircraft deliveries starting earlier also

 

[DC-4]

Staffing modeling is based on demand not on airframes. Demand is really high right now and sales are strong so demand should continue to be strong. When whole shares are parsed down to 32 shares on a card it changes the response to demand methods significantly. NJ should have recalled pilots months ago so that it could be ready for the busy season. Money, good will, lost opportunity and brand all left on the table by poor decisions by the EMT.

Not according to your union assuming your nja. Mcincrow and ward multiple times on the furloughed side have said its airframes alone that will drive recalls and nothing else.

 

[Downwind]

thx gut.

Taking the time to do that is very much appreciated. Now that i'm ready to return to flying, i can't wait to get that currency back so i can look for a better job :d

+1.....

 

[fischman]

"Your"
"You're"

You guys are killing me.

 

[Downwind]

Thanks gut I appreciate the insight. Something the union does not do so well. Like others have said it's been a sucky 4 years.

We have a union?

 

[billybob]

Dc. They are full of crap!

They don't know nor does anyone else.

End of first qr this year unless they want a sh!t show next fall

 

[gunfyter]

Not according to your union assuming your nja. Mcincrow and ward multiple times on the furloughed side have said its airframes alone that will drive recalls and nothing else.

Well the contract is airframes alone.

But management (in the past) has said flight demand determines what they think they need.