CaptainSpaz
lackey
- Joined
- Oct 20, 2005
- Posts
- 353
There has been alot of talk about this here lately, and I thought I would do some homework to cut through the speculation:
Ok, so here are the numbers from the SEC 10K. I am going to go with the most liberal numbers so nobody can accuse me of not giving us the benefit of the doubt...
A320s (as of Dec 2007)
Current: 104
Orders (firm AND options): 102
Subtract the 10 we are selling through early 2009...
Total (by 2015): 196
We staff 7.5 pilots per seat on the Airbus.
196 x 7.5 = 1470
Assuming we excercise all options to buy, and sell no more aircraft, thats 1470 A320 captain positions available by January 2016.
Now, lets add in career FOs and a Blend of 190 captains (assuming current pay rates). Junior 320 captain MIGHT be around 1700 or 1800? Lets say 1800.
If you are looking at coming here to JetBlue, you can expect to be somewhere around seniority number 2100 by the time you get on property.
So, after 8 years, if attrition below you equals at least 400 numbers, you could be the junior, reserve captain.
Discuss...
Ok, so here are the numbers from the SEC 10K. I am going to go with the most liberal numbers so nobody can accuse me of not giving us the benefit of the doubt...
A320s (as of Dec 2007)
Current: 104
Orders (firm AND options): 102
Subtract the 10 we are selling through early 2009...
Total (by 2015): 196
We staff 7.5 pilots per seat on the Airbus.
196 x 7.5 = 1470
Assuming we excercise all options to buy, and sell no more aircraft, thats 1470 A320 captain positions available by January 2016.
Now, lets add in career FOs and a Blend of 190 captains (assuming current pay rates). Junior 320 captain MIGHT be around 1700 or 1800? Lets say 1800.
If you are looking at coming here to JetBlue, you can expect to be somewhere around seniority number 2100 by the time you get on property.
So, after 8 years, if attrition below you equals at least 400 numbers, you could be the junior, reserve captain.
Discuss...