Independence
(But first a word for Uncle - sooner or later you will have to "burn a bridge" - you think you have conquered the world because you are holding ACA/Indy as a trump card - but what would happen if you suddenly decided through some warped decision-making process that you were going back to FLYi.....So what do you think Comair is going to do about you. Do you think you EVER have a chance of getting a job at Comair again? Delta owns Comair? Do you think they will look in the records? Good luck to you in continuing as a fine professional pilot.)
On the other hand, your decision making and everyone else's is simple.
Just ask yourself - what will it take for Indy to survive?
They need:
1.) A break on the price of fuel oil
2.) Higher revenues from passengers
3.) Less expenses while running the airline.
So let's take #1 - do you have a crystal ball? I've been driving 50 miles of Interstate every day to my non-aviation job - there are MORE Americans on the road this summer than I can ever recall - I've seen about three of those Prius hybrids. Answer - we are burning fuel at $3/gal just like it was $1.50/gal - folks have not stopped or curtailed use (including me) - I STILL have to get to work and I have no transportation alternative.
#2 - How is Indy going to make those $29 fares creep up to $49 or $59 or $69 or anywhere where the seat actually pays for itself to get in the air? I've been watching. Ten days ago Airtran announced a huge fare sale - two days after Independence announced their Independence Day Sale. Indy keeps telling us that they only sell "a few" seats at the sale price but they also say that they would rather fly a full plane at $29 seats than a half empty one - considering #1 above this logic escapes me - but anyway. A fifty seat airplane has at least 10 seats at $29 and probably has 10 seats at $129 (last minute, no discount, one way fare). That means every other seat is between $29 and $129. Do the math - at what average seat price do we actually make money - $50, $60, $70? (And do this math at $60/bll oil prices or $1.80/gal for JetA) There is no way at 79.9% Load Factor (hmmm, that's just enough to take out those ten $129 seats!) that we are paying the bills to operate the CRJ's.
#2 has a part "b". 2b states after one year of offering the "lowest prices", what would you say is our customer base? Do we have "loyal" customers or do we have bargain basement shopping type customers? If we raised the prices 15% to cash in on our "superior" tender loving service, would the customers follow us because just like all the Daily Briefing hype, they "love" us? Or, do you think our customers would run to all the other web sites and still keep looking for the "lowest price". Yeah, that's what I think too!
So now comes #3 - cutting expenses. Ask yourself - what's left? We are saving paper, saving fuel, dumpster diving for used parts (inside Indy joke - just ignore), we have cut staff to the bone, sold parts inventory, contracted stuff out and negotiated the cheapest hotels possible. So what's left? What can company cut from expenses and survive? I know - how about salaries - yeah to start with Indy pilots are making about 10-20% more per position than all the other Regionals in RJ's. (Ignore the fact that we have 5 to 17 year veterans flying those airplanes and the other guys have new hires in the right seat.) The simple fact is - when a Mesa CRJ goes up in the air, they pay XX for the flight crew. When an Indy CRJ goes up in the air, they pay XXPLUS 15-20%. Chautauqua, TSA, Skywest - you name the company other than Comair and we pay more to the "people" that operate our CRJ's than most. (BTW, this is usually because of our Seniority - a 15yr. veteran in the left seat and an 8 yr veteran in the right seat - yikes - 8 years in flying and back to right seat of a CRJ!)
So I ask again - how can FLYi cut expenses to save money they are not getting in income from the passengers? If you don't think they are coming to us (the pilots) for wage concessions and outright threats of disbanding the union, you haven't seen desperate airline executives yet. Yes, they are still holding an "ace" in the deck and it's your salary - get ready.