Understand that training is soooo expensive, but the cost for the gummers per amount they fly has got to be pretty high, plus double the currency training per year, plus the staffing nightmare with having to award seniority, and STILL staff enough under 60 pilots to the senior airframes... Some might argue majors would want to flush the old out and start over with a jr payscale roster, and desperate pilots trying to make up for the 5 year loss of pay (at least after they have them vote to break scope for a sweet bailout deal).
I don't think the majors will ever have a pilot shortage, but the regionals they whipsaw against each other and use to outsource our flying may have trouble in the near future. With a few contracts due or upcoming it may be in their best interest to keep the regionals well staffed via age change, but I pray nothing happens that fast. On my side they'll probably just park planes rather than hire.
Also possible scenario is not to raise age to INVOKE a pilot shortage to then argue and throw money to congress for letting mgmnts El Salvadorian pilot reserves unit (which is currently in training) to come in and fly for $1500 pre tax and free board.
I don't think the majors will ever have a pilot shortage, but the regionals they whipsaw against each other and use to outsource our flying may have trouble in the near future. With a few contracts due or upcoming it may be in their best interest to keep the regionals well staffed via age change, but I pray nothing happens that fast. On my side they'll probably just park planes rather than hire.
Also possible scenario is not to raise age to INVOKE a pilot shortage to then argue and throw money to congress for letting mgmnts El Salvadorian pilot reserves unit (which is currently in training) to come in and fly for $1500 pre tax and free board.