Superpilot92
LONGCALL KING
- Joined
- Nov 7, 2004
- Posts
- 3,719
Exactly TB.
I have heard some very small rumblings of some early outs, but nothing that would make it to sound like a good rumor.
There are many ways to come up with this so called 10,500 number, but there are also a lot of reasons to avoid the furlough.
I will say with out any certain info, that if I was not protected by this Seat Scope trigger post SOC, I would make sure I had my bases covered. It just makes sense. Heck, I do and I have some cushion.
We may shrink with retirements, maybe a few furloughs, but nothing more for the next few years. I have always said this, what worries me the most is when we lose the no furlough protection in the JPWA. It is weak but after two years they could park all of the 9's or 88's for that fact, and the bottom 450 as TB pointed out would be gone with no aircraft on order and no recourse. If that happened it would be two years before the retirements started to truly kick in.
What we have is a few years to hope and pray that we as an industry see the passenger levels of yesteryear.
They cant just park all those planes with no replacements and still support the domestic and international markets. NWA has said many times before that post 911/bankruptcy that the domestic flying was cut "to much" to feed the markets. Those planes would have to be replaced with something and they cant just replace them with "RJs" per our scope unless they are flown on the mainline ticket. The good thing is that the -9s are paid for and are flexible throughout the system, especially valuable right now since the credit market is shot.