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What I said was that given recent developments, DHL might well be considering farming out their U.S. distribution to either FedEx or UPS in exchange for some assistance in accessing markets currently served by DHL International.But there's no need to speculate who's gonna fly the airplanes. Whistlin'Dan already told us. DHL's gonna give the airplanes to either FDX or UPS. Something about a strategic alliance.
What I said was that given recent developments, DHL might well be considering farming out their U.S. distribution to either FedEx or UPS in exchange for some assistance in accessing markets currently served by DHL International.
Think about it. For all their foibles, DHL is still the undisputed "Big Dog" in many foreign countries. It's here that their service sucks, and it's here that they're hemmoraging money.
Meanwhile, FedEx and UPS have a virtual lock on making reliable overnight connections between any 2 mailboxes (or doorways) here in the United States. Should either one team with DHL, it would accelerate that company's presence in the International market by at least 5 years. I don't know if that's what DHL is hoping will happen, but it would explain their resistance to investing in infrastructure here.
As for the -300's, it's a sure bet that ABX won't get them because they have cargo doors, and Astar won't get them because they're new.
What I said was that given recent developments, DHL might well be considering farming out their U.S. distribution to either FedEx or UPS in exchange for some assistance in accessing markets currently served by DHL International.
Think about it. For all their foibles, DHL is still the undisputed "Big Dog" in many foreign countries. It's here that their service sucks, and it's here that they're hemmoraging money.
Meanwhile, FedEx and UPS have a virtual lock on making reliable overnight connections between any 2 mailboxes (or doorways) here in the United States. Should either one team with DHL, it would accelerate that company's presence in the International market by at least 5 years. I don't know if that's what DHL is hoping will happen, but it would explain their resistance to investing in infrastructure here.
As for the -300's, it's a sure bet that ABX won't get them because they have cargo doors, and Astar won't get them because they're new.
I suppose you could characterize it that way. But I think it would be more accurate to say that DHL would become a partner of UPS or FedEx, either through an outright purchase/merger or through some form of "strategic alliance" as previously mentioned. The latter would see both companies retain their respective corporate identities, which would ease any concerns that might be raised about "foreign ownership." Such an arrangement would allow both companies to focus on their core areas of expertise, that being International (DHL) and domestic (FedEx/UPS). DHL never capitalized on the explosive growth of overnight express in the 80's and 90's, and even if they were to spend the 3-5 billion dollars it would take to become competitive, it's unlikely they could make any significant inroads into the domestic market now. That ship has sailed...So, let me be sure I understand. DHL is going to line UPS or FDX coffers by hiring them for US distribution AND help one of them to compete with DHL internationally!?!
Well, yes, it IS possible.Yes, yes! Of course you're right!! We're all Doomed !!