Lear70
JAFFO
- Joined
- Oct 17, 2003
- Posts
- 7,487
Closer to a 14-year upgrade for me, 18 for PCL, staying at SWA.DOH and 1700 want to go. Staple with zero longevity and 500 stapled FOs decide if a 20 year upgrade is better or worse than a ten year upgrade.
Delta will retire 60% of their seniority list in the next 10 years. That's a fact, assuming age 65 doesn't turn into 68 or 70, in which case ALL bets are off, including at SWA.
Assuming only the bottom 500 wanted to go with a staple and no longevity (which doesn't include me, incidentally), they would upgrade at Delta in 12-14 years... sooner than they would at Southwest.
We've worked the numbers and have a pretty good feel for how many would want to go versus who would want to stay. Not sure PCL is right about his 500 number with a pure staple and NO longevity, basically a new-hire, but I'm sure you'd get at least a 1/2 of the people who were stapled. From a money standpoint, you'd be a fool not to go if you are under 35 with no kids. You'd have to want the SWA bases / culture, etc to stay in that case.
If it's all about the money, you'll make quite a bit more at Delta over your entire career if you're under 35. 35-40 it gets fuzzier. 45+, you stay at Southwest with your longevity in place.
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