Pilot shortage Myth. 7000 apps for 600 slots at DL

[redflyer65]

Probably 600 per year, for the next decade. Throw in AA and UAL, and that means 15,000 retirements over the next decade, just for the big three alone. The Cargo companies also have plenty of over age 60 pilots ready to go. The pilot shortage will really show itself when the Regionals can't find enough pilots with 1500 hours (or 800 from an accredited Univ). The UNIV programs are pretty expensive, and I doubt they are churning out as many pilots as they did before. The Regionals will see the shortage first.


Bye Bye---General Lee

I have to agree with the General here. Eventually there will be a shortage, but it will show up at the bottom side of the Regionals when they will be challenged to find anyone with 1500 TT. I predict it will begin getting hard for them to find anyone in 6-8 years.


PS- Good news if that DL number is up to 600 now.

 

[Dan Roman]

7000....as was pointed out, that means there are about 7000 total pilots looking to break into the legacies from their present position. I'm guessing there will be more retirements then that in the near future. Coupled with the fact that the regionals will have a very hard time losing more pilots and having to find higher time new hires. That in turn could force the mainline carriers to outsource less, which means even more hiring........looks like a looming shortage to me.

 

[General Lee]

I have to agree with the General here. Eventually there will be a shortage, but it will show up at the bottom side of the Regionals when they will be challenged to find anyone with 1500 TT. I predict it will begin getting hard for them to find anyone in 6-8 years.


PS- Good news if that DL number is up to 600 now.

Red,

Rumor has it 600 is all they can handle. With the large amount of retirements coming and the resulting internal upgrades as a result (AE's or advanced entitlements), that number is about all it can handle. That means higher monthly averages for all fleets, and probably lots of greenslips. The training dept will be very busy.



Bye Bye---General Lee

 

[Mercyful Fate]

LOL.. Won't have to... Just wait...

That's it? You pull a random number out of your rectum and this is your response?

Tool

 

[MooneyPilot]

So whats the secret on getting a call???

 

[Redtailer]

That's it? You pull a random number out of your rectum and this is your response?

Tool

Fine MF, don't believe it. You don't even have to read any of it for all I care.

 

[sniper]

So whats the secret on getting a call???

As long as you are not working for any of the 3 subsidized Airlines from the ME
you will receive the call eventually




FT3

 

[sniper]

Well there's a shocker. I can't imagine why with that sunny disposition of yours.

Its hard to find women in the States I guess because they are looking for Expats pilots from the ME and the great quality of life of there,,,,,,



Damn widwbody pilots from Dubai

 

[atpcliff]

If it is a myth, then why is the CEO of one of the 3 largest majors MOST worried about a pilot shortage? I heard he is worried that his airline will not be able to staff the planes that they have programmed for mainline, in a few years.

And, why did Jet Airways (an Indian carrier) just announce hiring pilots into a JFK base? No Indian carrier as ever had US basing until now.

Andy, why do two Chinese airlines now offer US pilot bases? Until a year or so ago, no mainland Chinese airline had pilot bases outside of China.

 

[livin'thesim]

Probably 600 per year, for the next decade. Throw in AA and UAL, and that means 15,000 retirements over the next decade, just for the big three alone. The Cargo companies also have plenty of over age 60 pilots ready to go. The pilot shortage will really show itself when the Regionals can't find enough pilots with 1500 hours (or 800 from an accredited Univ). The UNIV programs are pretty expensive, and I doubt they are churning out as many pilots as they did before. The Regionals will see the shortage first.

Bye Bye---General Lee

Starting, of course, with the regionals having the worst pay/QOL.

I also expect crappy 135 operators to have real problems as well. Although I bet lots of FOs will work for free to get to 1500 hours.