Hi Corp Capt... I of course can't tell you the best decision. But like others have pointed out, AA is about to hit big time retirements when the age 65ers start retiring next year. Lots of movement just from that - starting around 2017, there are around 500 retirements per year.Also, AA seems to want to grow, and a lot, to catch up with rivals. More movement right there. Now throw in the upcoming duty rest changes, that's gonna require some more pilots as well.
What I'm getting at is that anyone who hires on here when we start is probably not going to undergo the tremendous stagnation we've seen for the past 10 years. I think this seniority list will turn over very quickly in the next 20 years.
Overall this career and place have been good to me - I was hired in Feb 2000 so I am in year 12, flying 75/76 int'l out of JFK and holding a line (not by much!) The pilot group here is great, sure we have bad apples like all groups, but overall a very professional group of guys and gals.
If/when we get the contract we're fighting for, we should see some pretty big pay raises as well as better work rules. All in all, we're trying to make this a career place once again.
Right now they can't recall fast enough. Just talked to an MD80 CKA friend of mine - he was told they will continue hiring MD80 CKA through the rest of the year! That tells you something right there. We're extremely short thru the summer, and we just had 33 early outs July 1 with probably more on Aug 1. I think we'll be hiring by next year at this rate.
As G200 mentioned above, you can't jump into 121 worrying about furloughs. They are a fact of 121 life. However, my crystal ball says that this is the beginning of another big growth/hiring wave, and if you can get in early, maybe you can build enough of a cushion below you up until the next furlough (notice I said when, not if...)
250 possible new aircraft is way more than they're planning on retiring in the next 10 years, so I think there's quite a bit of growth in this order. As I said, AMR needs to grow, a lot, to catch up to rivals.
Good luck on your decision. I'm sure it ain't an easy one! Stay in touch and I'll be glad to update you on what's going on here.
73