First, SWA pilots do not have any advantage in this merger, unlike with the Frontier attempt. They have no additional bargaining position.
Since both CBAs have merger protection, you can expect that if the merger is not realistic and fair it will go to binding arbitration. This is where McCaskill-Bond will kick in and force a fair integration.
I expect that in such an arbitration, the arbitrator will listen to all sides and arguments, but the bottom line he will rule that a pure percentage integration will occur. EVERYONE will keep thier same relative seniority. If you were top 2% you are end up the same. If you were a bottom 10% you end up the same. Everyone that is a Captain before remains a Captain after. This type of intgegration is reflected in the DAL/NWA SLI and the USAir/AWA (active pilots). SLIs.
I know that some will argue that the AirTran pilost would get a windfall over such a merger. Yes, the AirTran pilots do get a pay raise in the Swa cba, but that is just a fact of live. Even the last FO at AirTran gets a pay raise and there is no SLI that will take this away from him. Just becuase AirTran is half the age of SWA does not matter, ref USAir merger. Hell, even the Delta/NWA had two pilot group that were different in ages (due to most senior DAL pilots taking the lump sum retirement and leaving prior to BK, thus effectively making DAL a younger company by up to 10years over NWA.
Yes, AirTran pilots get lots of improvements. But the are NOT AT THE EXPENSE OF THE SWA PILOTS. The SWA pilots would be at least the same before as after. However, in the big picture, even the SWA pilots will see benefits by the growth of the company, and future profits. Both sides will see improvements, it is just that AirTran pilots will see more. But no one will see a loss. Thus I see a pure percentage integration based on the facts and precedent established over the last few years.
Just my opinion.......
FNG