IFLYASA
Well-known member
- Joined
- Nov 27, 2001
- Posts
- 545
I've been going over the numbers at AAI. They roughly have 11,000 pilots with over 1000 on furlough. They haven't hired since 2000-2001. Assuming most majors avg age for a new hire pilot is 35, their avg age for the last new hires is around 44ish.
With the age 65 rule kicking in, it will be much longer before they hire. Plus with the 1000 furloughs, I would say it may take at least 5 years for them to hire again. Now, that avg age new hire is around 49 years old. So in theory if these guys/gals go until 65, they will have to replace 11000 pilots within 15 years.
Talking about movement!
With the age 65 rule kicking in, it will be much longer before they hire. Plus with the 1000 furloughs, I would say it may take at least 5 years for them to hire again. Now, that avg age new hire is around 49 years old. So in theory if these guys/gals go until 65, they will have to replace 11000 pilots within 15 years.
Talking about movement!