DAL/NWA pilots RE: furlough?

[Superpilot92]

Unfortunately when it comes to Northwest (or any airline for that matter) I'd tend to put a little stock into the "writing on the wall" before I fully bought into anything management spouted off.

Even if they toss NWA guys to the DAL side it still results in "the need for no furloughs" which is what they are saying right?

They (mgmt & ALPA) are saying by next year we could be about 400-500 people SHORT due to retirements and the Delta staffing model change in the JPWA.

 

[ACL65PILOT]

Lucky for them they have 36 months after DCC to be in compliance with the staffing model.
Now when it comes to the retirements, yes if they offer all of the early outs that were requested, then yes we could be quite short.

 

[Superpilot92]

Lucky for them they have 36 months after DCC to be in compliance with the staffing model.
Now when it comes to the retirements, yes if they offer all of the early outs that were requested, then yes we could be quite short.

Your forgetting that the Early outs werent even offered to the Widebody guys (typically more senior). So it isnt just about if they offer all the PERPS its how many will leave even without a perp. Best part is with those, the company has no say in when or if Someone can submit their retirement papers. IMHO thats why they arent awardng all of the early outs that were applied for because the company knows more are going to reitre on their own and dont want to suddenly have a giant void to fill, which will happen eventually anyway. There are many unknowns.

 

[GogglesPisano]

Good source ... 50 new-hires next year.

 

[ACL65PILOT]

G-That is to start.

 

[whymeworry?]

It's really none of my business but the naivete displayed by both NW and DAL pilots on here is a bit surprising. Don't y'all think the other shoe's gonna' drop once the SLI is complete?

You do realize NW mgmt is made up of former Lorenzo lieutenants, right? I surmise they will make all the growth promises a pilot want's to hear (using airline mgmt 101 playbook) until the SLI is complete (to assure as smooth a process as possible). Then, once complete, the reality will hit. You can't keep parking DC-9s and MD-88s and still need to grow, especiallt while eveyone else is cutting capacity. Or can you?

 

[ACL65PILOT]

I think that there will be cuts, but it will be offset by larger a/c deliveries. That is for the next two years.

 

[NuGuy]

I think that there will be cuts, but it will be offset by larger a/c deliveries. That is for the next two years.

Whatever helps you sleep at a night...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cK52X7_Nz-M

Nu

 

[ACL65PILOT]

Funny. I do not sleep either way.

 

[whatitdoing?]

Furlough is coming unfortunately.....matter of time.

 

[qxdash8]

Furlough is coming unfortunately.....matter of time.

Normally I would agree - but there are a few things working in our favor: Conversion of the last 7 767-400's to the international configuration (increases staffing requirements for that equipment), more 777 deliveries (each 777 requires way more pilots than one narrowbody), NW changing to DL work and staffing rules (sure this will take a while to go into effect, but must be accounted for long term) and of course the large number of upcoming NW retirements to be followed by a large number of DL retirements. These things will help ofset the decrease in narrowbody flying. If we can make it through the next year or so without furloughs, I think we will be in good shape.

 

[ACL65PILOT]

Agreed. I think that talking about furloughs is a little premature.

 

[another cfii]

The only thing that keeps me from a good night of sleep is:

1) Oil prices skyrocketing (again),
2) neighbor's dog barking...

I doubt we'll need to furlough unless we see oil prices go back up to the 140 range for an extended period of time.

 

[GogglesPisano]

It's the financial meltdown that worries me. So many pundits talking about a Second Great Depression. If that happens 30% of the pilots in this country will be working at WalMart (the only chain left.)

 

[whymeworry?]

Sky is falling scenario. The stock market will continue to correct until it reaches 33-40% down from it's highs. Then we will base-build for the next economic expansion. Sure things will be slow for a while but there won't be a depression.

This market correction is extremely healthy for the long-term viability of the world's largest economy. What are witnessing is the efficiency of free-markets working at its best. Pigs get slaughtered.