I think it would be very interesting to break down the vote trends from all the Mesa FO's and CA's who left Mesa to go to SKYW over the past 2 years in fairly significant numbers.
Did their experience at Mesa w/ALPA cause them to lean towards putting it on the SKYW property, lean against it, or was it a non-issue?
Course, we'll never know. I honestly don't know the answer, but it would be most interesting. It would certainly give a lot of insight on how ALPA needs to re-visit this in a year or two.
There IS one Trump card ALPA has though . . . If they negotiate a gold-plated, rock solid, industry leading contract in record time at a dump like Mesa (currently contract-amendable), they'll be a shoe in at all sorts of airlines.
The opposite may also be true.