WillowRunVortex
Former Sleepless Knight
- Joined
- Dec 30, 2004
- Posts
- 352
NuGuy said:Heyas WRV,
While you and I don't agree on some things, we are in agreement on this.
NuGuy's predictions (to be taken with plenty of salt):
The first to fall after this will be the DAL MX boys. No union, no protection...not even a negotiating period. From a management prospective, it would be stupid not to, but then again DAL management literally squandered 11 billion (thats right, with a 'b') without lifting so much as a finger.
I would say AMR MX is ok, since they actually use their Techincal Operations as a profit center (imagine that).
Anyone at an LCC might as well give up hope of improving their own situation.
The FAs are a hard group to pin down. Without stereotyping, the pilots and mechanics are more or less cut from the same bolt of cloth and will hang together. The FAs on the other hand are much more diverse set of people, single moms, empty-nesters, second income, doing it for the travel benes, and so on. It's hard to tell what they'll do.
You can bet the pilots will be square in the sights of managament after this. They aren't really replaceable in the same way as the mechanics. You can't fly the airline with managment pilots and then go to TIMCO and say "hey, I need 5000 pilots". Plus, you don't even need an A&P to work on a jet, only the supervisor who signs it off.
But all management needs to do is wave a stick at whats left of the 'A' fund, and you can bet the pilots will nerve will be tested.
How long before FedEx and UPS are tested? SWA?
This whole industry is working in a parasitic mode...it's using up whats left of the good days. People work for the crap wages hoping to win the lottery of employment at a decent outfit. But, the last of the good is being drained out. As the last of the holdouts fold, there will really be nothing worth looking up to. Once that's gone, what motivation will there be to enter this industry? But once the people in the industry get used up, and realize that there IS no tomorrow, that's when it gets interesting.
This affects more than just the employees. The LCCs aren't going to pay for fancy terminals, but in fact, will extort the cities to pay for service. Even with free airplanes and crap wages, you still can only run to a select number of markets and make money.
The best part of is is when ALL the airlines are duking it out in the same 60-70 citypairs...there won't be a pot to piss in for anyone. Amtrak will take over Greyhound, and the you'll have the federal government step in and run the EBS (essential bus service).
Nu
Well people,
This sounds perfectly logical to me. And I like to operate on a logical basis, so:
Sounds like it is time to buy a truck load of Campbell's soup and go out in the back-yard and dust out the cob-webs in the shelter.