So how far is 3570 from the first 1999 hire?
From the latest APL list (12/06), it appears the junior recalled pilot was number 3512 (7/89). On this last bid, there are 53 open positions to fill. 13 left from the last bid and 40 new recalls. At a 3:1 accept ratio, I would think they will go in the neighborhood 3670 to fill these slots (10/98). The first '99 newhire (actually 11/98) is number 3810. After this bid, they should be within 150 pilots of the first '99 newhires. They are expected to recall approximately 30-40 pilots per month until at least August. Again at a 3:1 accept ratio, I would think the first '99 pilot will get a shot at the 190 within the next two bids. My "guess" is the APR bid will be the winner....