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I have heard rumors that you guys will be loosing a ton of guys to retirement (more than some of the other carriers) Will that help a guy who is just getting on with upgrading in say 7 or so years?

You're not the first to notice the bottleneck of guys that would have retired in the next 10 years (now +5). When the merger was first announced, I knew the integration would get ugly, but I took some comfort knowing that at least I could outlast most of the guys on the east list. I still think there could be good times ahead in perhaps 15 years when most of the cancer has been cut out. Still, there is a ton of risk hitching up to this wagon, and you may not want to get real comfortable or stop updating your logbook--you know what I mean? Here are some of the things that will be troublesome until most of the easties are off playing shuffleboard:
  • Union decert drive--this is a very devisive ploy that I'm afraid will poison the waters for years to come. Even if it fails, it's going to be hard to get to a good place from here.
  • Poor contract for years to come--we had a window of a few months last year to get a decent joint contract together, but someone didn't show up at the table. Now we're into a downturn with permanently high oil prices going forward. If we have USAPA running negotiations, we'll be lucky to even keep the crappy contract we have now.
  • Consolidation--Notice how none of the merger buzz this year includes US Airways. We are apparently radioactive. If we do end up with 2 megacarriers, then AA and SWA doing their thing, it sure looks like we're on the outside looking in. It would be one thing if we had a solid route map with no weaknesses and great hubs with lots of O&E traffic--but no...we're weak internationally (no asia yet), weak in NY and DC, non-existent in the midwest, and spoke-only service to all of CA/OR/WA.
  • Performance--The airline struggles to pull up the rear of all of the DOT performance stats, and lip service is paid to improvement, but 80% of the employees don't really care. I don't envy management's job of trying to motivate the battle-weary east operation, but so far they don't seem up to the task.
  • Scope--I've lost track of how many small jet providers we have flying our paint around. Much of in E170s and CRJ900s, too. The east handed the scope over during the last 2 BKs. On the west side we've got CRJ900s galore as well. At least we are flying the E190 (but not at anything remotely resembling mainline wages).
Back to your question. If you can get hired, survive on these wages, and none of the above factors rear up to stall this airline and pilot group....then yes, in theory, you might upgrade faster than some other airlines. I don't even want to hazard a guess how many years that might be. Then again, I've been here over 3 years and I'm still a junior guy on reserve. How's that for a glowing endorsement?!?
 
What can a three year reserve First Officer expect to make? Also, how many days off could one expect?

Do you have any numbers on future retirements of the combined list?
 
What can a three year reserve First Officer expect to make? Also, how many days off could one expect?

Do you have any numbers on future retirements of the combined list?

From http://airlinepilotcentral.com/airlines/legacy/us_airways.html you can see that a westie will get $5236/month guaranteed, and I'll toss in $400-500 per diem for 8-12 days of flying per month. You can repeat the math for the east side, if you like.

In practice, after normal deductions and maxing out my 401K, I was taking home just under $4000/month.

Sorry, no numbers here for combined retirements. I'm sure someone's got them.
 

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