That's the "Russian Roulette" nature of the airline career search...always has been since I started in the mid-80s. Boom and bust...try to get hired at the start of a hiring wave, so that hopefully you've got enough "furlough fodder" under you when the inevitable downturn hits. But back then it was mostly just the periodic economic cycles you had to worry about; these days things seem much more volatile worldwide, and the constant undercutting of contract carriers and whipsawing of labor groups has reached a level I've never seen before. I know a lot of people who thought they'd finally made their last great career move by getting on with US Airways, United, Delta, etc...in 1999, 2000, & 2001, only to hit the street after 9/11 and stay there for years. When Airways last hired in 2008, the price of oil was on it's way toward $147/barrel and there were rumors of an impending merger with United; I decided not to risk moving my family just to get furloughed, so I withdrew my application. As it turned out, half of the class they hired were furloughed within about 8 months. Here we go again...this time I'm going to roll the dice, for better or worse, because my current situation has reached it's limit.