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SWA posts $162 Mil Net Income/ $.22 per share

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The Prussian

Stecknadelkopf
Joined
Oct 24, 2005
Posts
671
Press ReleaseSource: Southwest Airlines
Southwest Airlines Reports Third Quarter Earnings; 66th Consecutive Quarter of Profitability
Thursday October 18, 7:40 am ET
DALLAS, Oct. 18 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV - News) today reported its third quarter 2007 results. Net income for third quarter 2007 was $162 million, or $.22 per diluted share, compared to $48 million, or $.06 per diluted share, for third quarter 2006. Economic net income for third quarter 2007 was $133 million, or $.18 per diluted share, compared to $154 million, or $.19 per diluted share, for third quarter 2006. (Refer to the reconciliation in the accompanying tables for further information regarding economic results.) The third quarter 2007 results include the following two charges, which were not reflected in First Call's mean estimate for economic net income of $.21 per diluted share:
-- $25 million charge ($.02 per diluted share impact, net of profitsharing and income tax effects) related to the Company's recent voluntary early-out program -- $11 million income tax charge ($.01 per diluted share impact) related to a change in Illinois state income tax law
Gary C. Kelly, CEO, stated: "Our fourth quarter 2007 revenue initiatives are well underway and on track with our planned implementation schedule. We began slowing our capacity growth rate this month and have trimmed our route system. We are very enthused by the response to our new Customer boarding method, which will be implemented system-wide on November 8, 2007. In connection with that, we have begun our "extreme gate makeover" to improve the Customer airport experience with an anticipated completion date of mid-year 2008. We will soon announce enhancements to our fare structure and Rapid Rewards frequent flyer program, supported by a new marketing and advertising campaign. We will also begin enhancing our revenue management structure, technology, techniques, and processes in fourth quarter 2007. We are continuing efforts to provide travel agent and professional travel manager partners with increased and cost effective access to our fares and inventory. We are particularly pleased with the recent expansion of our agreement with Travelport's Galileo to include Worldspan, another of Travelport's global distribution systems. We are very excited about these major revenue initiatives as well as our longer term ancillary and codeshare revenue opportunities, and are determined to overcome higher fuel costs and achieve our financial targets.
"With respect to our third quarter 2007 revenue performance, we are pleased that operating unit revenue comparisons turned positive. While year-over-year comparisons were favorably impacted by the August 2006 terrorist threat and related carryon restrictions, third quarter 2007 operating revenues of $2.6 billion were a record. This performance was driven by a record third quarter 2007 load factor of 76.6 percent, which resulted from strong demand for low fares. Based on current revenue trends, bookings, and planned revenue initiatives, and barring a slowdown in the domestic economy, we expect fourth quarter 2007 operating unit revenues to exceed year ago levels.
"Market crude oil prices hitting all-time high levels further accentuates our cost challenge. Despite favorable cash settlements from our fuel hedging program of $189 million for third quarter 2007, our economic fuel cost per gallon of $1.69 rose 7.6 percent from a year ago. We have derivative contracts in place for approximately 90 percent of our fourth quarter 2007 estimated fuel consumption, capped at an average crude-equivalent price of approximately $51 per barrel (compared to approximately 85 percent at approximately $43 per barrel for fourth quarter 2006). Based on this derivative position and present market prices, we are currently estimating our fourth quarter 2007 economic fuel costs per gallon to be in the $1.80 range.
"We have derivative contracts for approximately 70 percent of our estimated 2008 fuel consumption at an average crude-equivalent price of approximately $51 per barrel; approximately 55 percent of our estimated 2009 fuel consumption at an average crude-equivalent price of approximately $51 per barrel; over 25 percent of our estimated 2010 fuel consumption at an average crude-equivalent price of approximately $63 per barrel; and over 15 percent of our estimated 2011 and 2012 fuel consumption at an average crude-equivalent price of approximately $64 and $63 per barrel, respectively.
"Excluding fuel, third quarter 2007 economic unit costs increased 2.2 percent from a year ago, including the $25 million charge related to our recent voluntary early-out program. Based on current trends and various cost pressures, we presently expect our fourth quarter 2007 economic unit costs, excluding fuel, to exceed third quarter 2007's 6.52 cents.
"As previously announced, we are pruning our flight schedule in fourth quarter 2007 and slowing our fourth quarter 2007 and full year 2008 available seat mile growth to the five to six percent range on a year-over-year basis. We have nine and 29 firm Boeing 737-700 aircraft deliveries in fourth quarter 2007 and full year 2008, respectively. We currently plan to reduce 2008 fleet growth by at least ten aircraft, bringing 2008 planned additions to no more than 19 net aircraft.
"We are pleased with the Bay area's response to our renewed San Francisco International Airport service, which started in August. We are also pleased with the strong Customer demand for our new low fare service offered at Dallas Love Field as a result of the Wright Amendment Reform Act of 2006, which increased third quarter 2007 revenues by approximately $32 million.
"As our Employees strive to counter higher fuel costs, they remain dedicated to upholding our superb Customer Satisfaction record, and they consistently receive high marks in Ontime Performance. Recent Southwest honors include being named the top airline brand for customer experience in the nationwide study performed by RTC Relationship Marketing. The study correlated brand performance, treatment of customers, and sense of community as the major drivers of overall brand experience. We also received the Frost & Sullivan 2007 CEO Choice Award for the Overall Best Airline in the United States. We are very proud that Southwest Cargo recently received its 13th consecutive Quest for Quality Award, placing first in Ontime Performance, Value and Customer Service."
Southwest Airlines was also included in InformationWeek 500's annual listing honoring Southwest Airlines' extraordinary ability to deliver business value through technology innovation and execution and was included in Hispanic Business Magazine's Diversity Elite 60. Southwest will discuss its third quarter 2007 results on a conference call at 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time today. A live broadcast of the conference call will be available at http://southwest.com/?src
 
Halin, this report is not good news.

SWA made $162M for the 3rd while making $189M off the hedges.

SWA revenue sucks. Your operation is losing money and your making it on the hedges. And the hedges are declining and when they disappear SWA will be posting RED INK.

The airline business is about costs but it is MORE about revenue. And if SWA undercuts the industry as it has SWA will not produce the necessary revenue.

We will see what happens in the 4th quarter because the 3rd stinks. Expect '08 to be a real challenge for the year with only 70% hedged and SWA predatory revenue pricing.
 
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The hedges are not running out....SWA still has a fuel purchasing office that is fully staffed and they continue to work and re-work the fuel hedge agreements.
 
It doesn't matter if the hedges are running out. The revenue is not meeting the costs. The hedges are just temporarily covering the losses.

The 3rd quarter would have looked like a MINUS $27M loss without the hedges. Operationally the airline is operating at a loss.

SWA only profit center is it's secondary business the Fuel Office which hasn't closed it doors YET! I thought SWA was an airline.
 
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Halin, this report is not good news.

SWA made $162M for the 3rd while making $189M off the hedges.

SWA revenue sucks. Your operation is losing money and your making it on the hedges. And the hedges are declining and when they disappear SWA will be posting RED INK.

The airline business is about costs but it is MORE about revenue. And if SWA undercuts the industry as it has SWA will not produce the necessary revenue.

We will see what happens in the 4th quarter because the 3rd stinks. Expect '08 to be a real challenge for the year with only 70% hedged and SWA predatory revenue pricing.

SWA has demonstrated that they have pricing power in this market. I fully expect them to raise fares as needed to keep up with dwindling hedges over the next few years. If they had seen market resistance to fare increases over the past couple of years, then there would be reason to worry, but that's not the case.
 
So as SWA raises fares, the other carriers will be allowed to raise fares, thereby, making an even larger profit leveling the playing field with SWA further.

SWA predatory pricing will end as SWA raises fares to meet its high CASM with its below industry RASM.
 
Below industry RASM, is SWA's problem.

And SWA will never produce a revenue premium.

Also at some point if SWA raises prices to much it will reduce its load factor thereby, giving up its pricing abilities.
 
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Profit = Profit. I dont care if we get it by selling girl scout cookies.

It's good to see everyone posting profits.

The SWA Way is alive and well, and it's nice to be a part of it.

Lucky, how many consecutive quarterly profits has your airline posted? Bankruptcy? Billions of losses? Okee-do-kee then.

We will always have small and large problems to contend with - whether it be throwing gorgeous women off the plane or our hedges diminishing.

How does our P/L concern you?
Have you ever watched the X-games. Skateborders and BMXers always compete fiercly against each other, always. However they ALWAYS pat each other on the back when someone does well, or picks them up when they dont.
 
Lucky, you prove your ignorance on how SWA uses its hedging program. You cannot say hedging was $189M and profits were $162M, therefore we really had a $27M loss. It is not that simple!
 
Hey Luckyifyouhadabrain....Southwest prices its product to cover costs and then make a profit, as in any normal business. Nothing has changed in Econ 101 since the dawn of time. Fuel hedging can help to mitigate soaring fuel costs, but in the end the product is priced to cover all those costs, and then make that profit target.
 
Lucky,

You are spitting mad that SWA said that you are not SWA material and you were REJECTED, or you didnt even apply because you know that you would not be hired due to your DUI, lack of college degree, or the fact that you most likely have gone from job to job to job. You therefore hate SWA and hope for their failure.
 
Good job guys! Keep raising the fares 10 at a time and we'll all make more. By the way, if the hedges do run out, then no one else will have them either. Doesn't SWA still have the lowest non fuel casm in the industry? Thats what matters.
 
$162 mil. profit, oh my god, the writing on the wall for Southwest!!

Everybody resign and I will call the PD immediately to give up my pool date so that we can get ahead of this sinking ship...

Get a life. And re-apply in 1 year.
 
Bravo SWA !, easy on the sour grapes lucky charms
 
I wish I had a link to our latest union paper that explains the study that was done on CASM, fuel hedging, and such for our negotiations. Made my dumba$$ understand it more.
 
Lucky, you prove your ignorance on how SWA uses its hedging program. You cannot say hedging was $189M and profits were $162M, therefore we really had a $27M loss. It is not that simple!


You are right. The 4th quarter is the one that matters. But the 2nd and the 3rd are the big ones with the losses in the 1st and 4th.

Poor third quarter results are forward looking indicators.

Nice to see all you SWA cheerleaders are all so thin skinned. It will be easy to skin you alive when times get tough.

Step away from the cool aid.

Take control of you union and send those age 65 guys packing and SWA might be CASM competitive during the next five years.
 
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Lucky,

Recall also the ONE TIME costs of $36mil NOT INCLUDED in the $162mil profit, so the real profit was $198mil. Doing some math, even misconstruing the hedges as you have tried, equals a profit no matter how you count it. $198mil is more than your hedge bean count. SWA takes hedging into account when it does its pricing and flight schedule. Take hedging out of the equation, and walllah, we get different fares and a slightly different flight schedule.

By the way CASM, ex-fuel, was flat except for that $36mil one time charges I pointed out above. Sounds like our costs aren't going through the roof after all.

18Oct07 MarketWatch

Fourth-quarter outlook

For the fourth quarter, Southwest has hedged 90% of its estimated fuel consumption, capped at an average crude-equivalent price of $51 a barrel, and now sees its fuel costs rising to $1.80 a share in the fourth quarter.
CEO Gary Kelly said the company has started to slow capacity growth this quarter. Southwest announced plans to trim growth rates in June, with an initiative to add over $1 billion in revenue by 2010 and $10 million to profit in the fourth quarter.
"We will soon announce enhancements to our fare structure and Rapid Rewards frequent flyer program, supported by a new marketing and advertising campaign," he said.
He anticipates fourth-quarter operating unit revenue topping year-ago levels.

Now correct me if I'm wrong, but that is about as much hedging as we've ever done and that oh so important 4th qtr appears to be ready to do well this year. How can the 2007 3rd qtr results be such a bad omen if we made more hedge money in 2006 3rd qtr? Not thin skinned, just not thick headed.

JumpJetter had it right:

SCOREBOARD!
 
Doesn't SWA still have the lowest non fuel casm in the industry?

Nope, that title went to AirTran this year. SWA does still have the lowest CASM including fuel, though, thanks to their hedges.
 

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