"Really? Every single upgrade starting 1/1/2015 will be a former AirTran guy. Every one. Even with no growth whatsoever, that's several hundred per year, starting Jan 2015, based on retirements alone."................
ONLY IF THERE ARE VACANCIES!
SWA staffing numbers at 10.5 crew per aircraft. 800 upgrades in two years. When was the last time that SWA upgraded 800 in two years?
Retirements around 750 or so over the next four years. Aircraft deliveries deferred. Less than 60 Airtram 737's. MAYBE some foreign leased aircraft to replace 300's and 500's. ASM's will increase but pilot numbers will not.
Flattish will be what you see regardless of what your bag tag says. Your negotiating power was signed away with each and every SL that has been signed away. You got your seats and now GK is going to get what he wants. He can increase the RASM with increased ASM's and the international operations that will eventually evolve at the current glacial place. He will show the board that he can get his 15% ROIC and keep his pilots in line.
The last part about negotiations progress is directly related to pilot cost. Got retro written in contractual language or are you reliant upon the good nature of GK and his minions?
Yes, really. Every upgrade starting 1/1/2015 will be FAT pilots. There
will be vacancies for the reasons stated.
800 captains is roughly half of the number of AirTran pilots brought aboard. Adding 1600 new pilots added equals about 800 new captains. Do you have a problem with that math? Or are you really implying that the company purposely upgraded too many captains, and is paying them Southwest captain wages when they don't need them, just to screw
you? Good God, you should see someone about your paranoia.
The fact is, the company generally runs lean on captains because they are so expensive. Captain reserves get used nearly every day of their blocks, while FOs do not get used as much. There will still be retirements and increased vacation coverage needs after the end of 2014 (and the resultant need for more captains). Despite your pessimistic doomsday forecast.
<begin rant>
On second thought, you're right. Southwest purposely frontloaded on captains they didn't need just to screw you. SWAPA conspired to help them do so. There'll never be another upgrade after 2014 for any reason, and Southwest will slowly wither away to nothing, all just to spite you. Too bad we can't be run as well as AirTran was. And you know the best part? I don't care. I'm happy you're getting screwed. I'd gladly destroy the airline and lose my job if it hurts you. I stopped caring when you couldn't stop whining like a little girl.
<sarcastic rant over>
Wow, I feel better now. Anything else I can do to help?
Bubba