IP,
I believe the May rumor initially came about through use of some "fuzzy" math. Apparently, a COEX/XJT rep told someone at the Women in Aviation conference that they would be hiring outside pilots by March of '03. Some of the blindly optimistic folks waiting for recall took that to mean that all the furloughs would be recalled and finished with training by then. They then took some theoretical numbers regarding the capacity of the training department (I think they assumed they could only put out 50 pilots/month), they took the number of furloughed pilots, divided them by 50, and voila, you get the number of months before March that recalls should start. This is how they came up with May. In my humble opinion, this is a wildly inaccurate guess of when recalls should begin....based on a rumor. This is how these things get started. Be gentle with your friend though, while the rumor is pretty ridiculous, the blindly hopeful furloughee is a truly fragile thing.