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Deli Guy said:Hey AA717 driver and Spooky 1,
There are probably a handful of guys out there that have types in the planes, but they would have to go through the FAA approved NWA designed course even if they were typed in the plane. This training could maybe put 40-50 guys through at a time and would take 2 months with the training on a 24 hour basis. Then there is the in flight period being conducted by who? If you are trying to imply that at this time, NW pilots could be replaced you are wrong. What could be done much easier is to promise the senior guys higher pay / incentives (retirements seem to have settled themselves) to sell out the junior guys, reduce the "mainline guys" to a conquerable number, THEN the mainline pilots could be replaced. My take is mgmnt is trying to get mainline down to a defeatable number. I (.....gulp....) am trusting ALPA when they are saying "SCOPE IS THE FOCUS". I think they see the divide and conquer scheme and it is not in ALPA's best interest to lose so many guys.
Ah yes, how soon we DO forget... Read the bold print above. Any airline that would try that would QUICKLY find themselves in Chapt 7... Too many people to replace in that short a time-span, MOST of the TWA guys are probably nowhere NEAR current and would have to go back through FULL initial (as Deli Guy said, 2 months each PLUS who the h*ll is going to do their OE and on WHAT FLIGHTS?), and the airline is going to be shut down for HOW LONG until they can get at least 800-1000 pilots to do any real schedules?Spooky 1 said:Deli Guy, how soon we forget. CAL got 1900+ guys to cross over or join their ranks, EAL got over 2200+ pilots to do the same within 6 months, and UAL got similar results within six months. Not suggesting this is likely to happen agai, but don't think it is some how impossible in todays climate. None of these groups were ablse to sustain a profitable operation but they played further havoc with a fairly healthy airline industry as compared to todays airline hulks. I have a pretty good understanding of this debacle as was around in those days and even this very day I am flying with a former CAL Capt. that did not go back. To think this can not happen again is simply fooling yourselves. All you have to do is look at some of the folks who post on this site and you will see what I mean.
When they do that, the pilots are without a contract and are free to IMMEDIATELY engage in self-help if the cuts are too deep for the MAJORITY of their pilots to live with. It's a double-edged sword, and would force the company to play ball to a certain degree, or it could shut the airline down permanently. That's why we're talking about replacement workers...mynameisjim said:All of a sudden we're talking about how NWA will train replacement pilots? What did I miss?
In 60 days, after the pilots and management can't come to an agreement, the bankruptcy will impose the paycuts under 1113c.
I think you're limiting yourself on what NWA can convince a judge is needed to survive.The company has to show an immediate need to adjust the contract to maintain solvency, which I think they can do regarding paycuts. I don't believe an immediate change in scope is required to maintain the company, so the judge probably will not impose it.
I agree, but I'm also willing to bet my job that the airline goes after Scope in 1113c and gets it IF the pilots don't negotiate something with management FIRST.I'd be willing to bet my job the pilots don't strike (and a strike would surely mean my job, because I am not going to train any scabs).
Hey, it's Flightinfo, you're allowed...Deli Guy said:I respectfully do not agree with your numbers.
Oh I agree about Newco, I don't believe the bankruptcy judge will LET mgmt even BEGIN to start up a new company - that kind of capital expenditure just isn't justified when mainline is right there and so are two regional affiliates. No way, no how.The 60+ seat flying could be done at mainline for your numbers when you look at the real numbers. Starting and staffing a new company (NEWCO) would cost billions.
Simply not true. Our CASM is higher than NWA only because of fewer seats. The operation is indeed subsidized, mainly fuel costs (Pinnacle pays a great portion of the leasing cost of these aircraft back to NWA - don't ask me, doesn't make much sense to me either but it's in every public filing out there).On top of that, (and this is not a slam--just a fact we both work with)the numbers for pcl/mesaba are subsidized. If you are talking strictly labor, yes, you guys are cheap. We can and are willing to match you at established rates. If you bring in the real operating expenses, you guys are expensive.