Just playing the devil's advocate here:
Once again, if we got a 3% hike on the failed TA wages, our first year pay at CHQ would be higher than everybody's except ComAir, AirWhiskey and Horizon, and in the former two cases, by less than fifty cents an hour. Second year pay has always been the lag for us, where we lag behind most.
If anybody is wondering, I'm working on $22, 900 this year as a first year FO @ 19.96 an hour. I've dropped something along the lines of 27 hours, which would add another $500 or so to that number. That includes per diem, and anyone who knows me knows that I don't do overnights if I can, and I have never done overtime. 3% higher than failed TA pay would be 22.03, which would add another $1800 or so to the first year tab, which would bring you darned close to $25,000.
Granted, all of us are still miffed about 2nd year pay, which is less than pretty much everybody's, even assuming the numbers we're assuming. But there's a lot of other variables that are there to consider, and I won't lose any sleep at night if we have industry leading captain rates, good work rules, and an otherwise fair compensation package but come up short on 2nd year FO pay. Keep in mind that every day we don't sign a contract, we're losing pay, and it takes an exponentially larger raise the longer we delay to make up for the time spent negotiating.
Don't get me wrong, folks. I'm as committed as anyone to getting a good contract, and if the TA gets voted down (if there is one) and CHQ decides to walk, I'll be the first one out on the line. I'm just trying to be somewhat analytical about the process and see how everyone else reacts.