KeroseneSnorter said:
While I am glad to see some of the regional boys starting to try and stand up for something.
I am puzzeled why they did not do it before? You know, back when UsAir was being gutted, TWA, UAL, etc...
Oh wait.....thats right, back then mgmt. was busy gutting the mainlines and buying the regional boys a whole heap o new shiny jets to play with! I see, now that your rj's are being removed out from under you by other regionals that are undercutting you, you now want a nationwide action campaign.
About 4 years ago I got bashed on another webboard for bringing this fact up, back then I told those guys that is was only a matter of time before they were the ones targeted, and if it kept up their chances of ever seeing a mainline in their career was quickly dissappearing. I believe his exact response to me was (coming from a 25 year old new RJ Capt.), "Your time is over old man, your kind is a dinosaur, get out of the way." Funny how a few years and approaching 30 years old will change a fellows point of view!
OK Rant over, At least it is nice that the regional guys are starting to see that what happens to one section of the industry affect all of us sooner or later.
"Complete integration of all regional carriers into the parent company's seniority list is the only way to solve this problem. However I think the window of oppertunity on that is far past.
"
This is absolutely correct ! Unfortunately, the opposite seems to be occurring. Mainlines are divesting themselves of wholly owned regionals that could have been integrated with the mainlines over time.
Just watch what happened to Coex, Pinnacle (Express I), the asset sale of Midatlantic "division of mainline," and now ASA.
Next is the divestiture/asset sale of Comair to Mesa, followed by the divestiture of American Eagle. The latter would have happened already if there were any potential buyer.
Other sell offs will likely follow. This may include the only other remaining wholly owned regionals like Horizon, Piedmont/Allegheny and PSA.
Outsourcing and complete elimination of scope is on the horizon. The winners will be the likes of Skywest, Republic and Mesa. The rest of us will be out of luck for the immediate future.
Longterm things will return to equilibrium. Eventually, traffic increase will outpace the available pilot pool and things will return to a semblence of normalcy.
This industry will look a lot different though. Regionals will fly everything up to the E170/190 and the new Bombardier C class 110-130 pax jet. They will take over an even larger portion of domestic short and medium range routes and there will be a realistic career with top income in the $100K to $130K range. Not unlike AirTran, JetBlue, Frontier, etc..
The legacy carriers fleet will start with aircraft the size of the A319/A320, focusing on long range transcontinental and intercontinental routes. There will be consolidation/mergers until we reach 3 to 4 legacy carriers and 3 to 4 niche carriers like AirTran, JetBlue, Frontier, and Southwest, as there should be in a mature market. Growth and income will return to this sector when they focus on markets that they serve best.
Some of the new large regionals (really nationals), may possibly be merger candidates with some of the niche carriers, or even the legacy carriers. And we will have come full circle.
The outcome will be far preferable to the present state of industry instability and chaos marked by management-labor infighting while the ship is sinking. Scope may be gone, but it may also have been part of the problem leading to irrational aircraft utilization.
Just look at the CRJ440/200 and the Avro85. We are flying aircraft around that are inefficient to begin with and then we take seats out to make sure that this is a losing proposition to meet scope requirements.
Let's not kid ourselves. Just look at IAH. It is not a Continental hub, it's an ExpressJet hub. More and more of the regionals have nearly as many or more aircraft then the mainlines and many more departures. In reality, these are majors by industry standards. We can thank mainline ALPA for this absurd result.
We will not be able to get the cat back into the bag. Nor should we try. The industry has fundamentally changed and we have to adjust. Scope has done nothing to benefit the majors. This has not protected pilot jobs at the majors, but instead has jeopardized them.
Let's stop the arguing between major and regional pilots. We all fly aircraft that are increasingly of similar size and sophistication, and unfortunately increasingly for similar pay. We should all endeaver to advance this profession and the industry as a whole.
A rising tide lifts all ships. Who cares if a large regional flies the E190, if we get a lot more 777's and 787's at the legacies. I for one would rather fly a 787 to CDG, than fly a F100 to PIT. And, I'll bet I'll be better compensated.