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I think Mesa will already have a heck of a time staffing the 30 E175's as well as the 4 addtional CRJ 900's and any attrition to come about with new pilots. Mesa already had a hard time just finding them for the 9 CRJ 900's we finally got staffed 6 months after the last one came online. All the regionals are already having a hard time finding pilots with 1500 hours. So I think that Airways dropping Skywest and giving more flying to Mesa is next to impossible for Mesa to handle at this point in the game.
I've been hearing "Quick Upgrade" at Mesa. How long is a quick upgrade? (To thwart the useless replies of some, I understand that we can only predict with the information we have at hand and if something changes it's anybody's guess....who would have predicted the outcome of the superbowl?)
which would create massively quick upgrade for those who jump laterally --- i.e. a Skyw FO with a 9 year upgrade trajectory could be a captain within 9 months at Mesa. That will probably fix any pilot shortage.
For what its worth, you currently need about 7 years for upgrade. I think the predicted quick upgrades are due to the fact that Mesa has recently announced additional airplanes to nearly doubles its fleet size over the next couple of years. Those quick upgrades have not happened yet - as the new planes arrive, the longevity required will quickly drop. Bear in mind that just a year ago, the bottom FO on property was nearly at 6 years with the company.
Nine 900s have been delivered so far. 30 EMB175s coming, and 4 more 900s confirmed yesterday. Additional rumor (with some evidence that lends merit) for yet another 10 900s that have not been announced. That would take the total growth announced within the last year to either 43 or 53 (depending on whether the latest rumor for 10 more is realized) - nearly doubling Mesa's fleet size from what it was a year ago.
175s for Usair?
Can you think of a better way to put cost preasure on SKW.... Just have Mesa through in a bid... They (Mesa) are behind on there E175 program. How would they get 200's back up and running again...