Shamrock
My $.02, the Majors are furloughing and cutting labor costs because of poor management and planning, not because of LCCs. If they would pay attention to fixing their underlying problems they wouldn't have to worry so much about AirTran. Southwest, or JetBlue.
You are right about the poor management and planning, but wrong about LCC's. 3-4 years ago, ALPA was blaming the regionals for all of the mainline woe's. We were stealing all of the flying, management was breaking their scope demands with RJ's, and Planebusiness.com was the choice message board. Now the mainlines are strugling even more because of the ill conceived notions of tying managements hand and only allowing a certain number of RJ's or none at all; to preserve the industry. Well, back then, some of us were trying to state that the problems were not the WO regionals, but the LCC's. Of course we were told otherwise! Mainline structures were intact fom the pre regulation days. LCC structures were brand new and cost efficient. Mainline just looked the other way and ignored the new "cancer", in denial (not ment to diss the LCC's). ALPA is still hoping it will all just go away.
Well, they are here to stay, and thus they are direct competition. Mainline has to reorganize and compete, or they go away. Sure, mainline has international routes that the LCC's don't have, but it is just a mater of time before the LCC's are going accross the pond. Management did screw up, but mainline has to somewhat mirror the competitions structure in pay and operational methology to stay afloat. Example: Delta better get their pay structures in line with the industry or they to will be left in the dust. AA, US and United have already experienced the shock of the LCC's the hard way by limiting or scoping out the RJ's and ignoring the real competition. Delta was fortunate to have a more lax scope that allowed the company to somewhat right size the aircraft, and thus is still fairly strong.
So, bottom line is that the LCC's are the real problem (along with inept management). The legacy carriers need to get off the pot and restructure, recost, regroup, and rearm, or their wont be anything left but a shell of their original self.
OK, I am done! Flame away.
