Green said:
my .02
Without a doubt go with cal, unless you want to spend the next 30 years flying 90+ hours a month in an A320. Or if you are seriously not sure choose Jblue and leave the cal job for somebody who really wants/appreciates the offer.
CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(UNAUDITED)
Primarily due to record-high fuel prices and the continued weak domestic fare environment, the current U.S. domestic network carrier financial environment continues to be poor and could deteriorate further. During the third quarter of 2005, Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Rita caused widespread disruption to oil production, refinery operations and pipeline capacity along certain portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast. As a result of these disruptions, the price of jet fuel increased significantly and the availability of jet fuel supplies was diminished. Additionally, Hurricane Rita forced us to suspend service for 36 hours at our largest hub, Houston's Bush Intercontinental Airport, costing us an estimated $25 million. Further increases in jet fuel prices or disruptions in fuel supplies, whether as a result of natural disasters or otherwise, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial position or liquidity.
Among the many factors that threaten us are the continued rapid growth of low-cost carriers and resulting downward pressure on domestic fares, high fuel costs, high labor costs for our flight attendants, excessive taxation, increased security costs and significant pension liabilities. In addition to competition from low-cost carriers, we may face stronger competition from Delta Air Lines, Inc. and Northwest Airlines Corp. if those carriers, each of which filed for bankruptcy protection in September 2005, are able to achieve substantial cost reductions in bankruptcy through, among other things, reduction or discharge of debt, lease and pension obligations and wage and benefit reductions.
We have attempted to return to profitability by implementing the majority of $1.1 billion of annual cost-cutting and revenue-generating measures since 2002, and we have also made significant progress toward our goal of achieving an additional annual $500 million reduction in pay and benefits costs. We finalized changes to wages, work rules and benefits for all employees except our flight attendants and certain employees of our wholly-owned subsidiary CMI who are subject to collective bargaining agreements. We began implementing these changes in early April 2005, which, when fully implemented, are expected to result in approximately $418 million of annual pay and benefits cost savings on a run-rate basis.
A significant portion of the cost savings from our work groups, both unionized and non-unionized, will be derived from changes to benefits and work rules. Our ability to achieve certain of the cost reductions will depend on effective implementation of new work rules, actual productivity improvements and implementation of changes in technology pertaining to employee work rules and benefits.
Although revenue trends have been improving, we still expect to incur a significant loss in the fourth quarter and full year 2005 due in large part to record high fuel prices. As a result of escalating prices, fuel expense is our single largest operating expense item for the first time in our history. We have been able to implement some fare increases on certain domestic and international routes in recent months, but these increases have not fully offset the substantial increase in fuel prices.
Taking into consideration our expected fourth quarter loss, $356 million of debt and capital lease principal payments due in the fourth quarter of 2005 and the $65 million cash pension contribution we made in October 2005, we currently expect that our unrestricted cash and short-term investments balance as of December 31, 2005 will be approximately $1.4 billion, not including any fourth quarter capital market transactions or other financings, except for previously announced aircraft financing transactions.
We also believe that under current conditions, absent adverse factors outside of our control, such as additional terrorist attacks, hostilities involving the United States, a further delay in the restart of the Gulf Coast refineries or further significant increases in crude oil prices, our existing liquidity and projected 2006 cash flows will be sufficient to fund current operations and other financial obligations through 2006.
However, we have significant financial obligations due in 2007 and thereafter, and it is possible that we will have inadequate liquidity to meet those obligations if the current adverse domestic fare environment for network carriers does not improve materially, fuel prices remain high and we are unable to increase our revenue or decrease our costs considerably or raise additional liquidity through financing activities and/or by selling non-strategic assets. Our recent pay and benefit cost reductions are helping us reduce our overall costs, but we do not expect that these reductions in and of themselves will provide sufficient liquidity or restore our long-term profitability in the current environment.