Welcome to Flightinfo.com

  • Register now and join the discussion
  • Friendliest aviation Ccmmunity on the web
  • Modern site for PC's, Phones, Tablets - no 3rd party apps required
  • Ask questions, help others, promote aviation
  • Share the passion for aviation
  • Invite everyone to Flightinfo.com and let's have fun

Hurricane Wilma directed for S Florida ?

Welcome to Flightinfo.com

  • Register now and join the discussion
  • Modern secure site, no 3rd party apps required
  • Invite your friends
  • Share the passion of aviation
  • Friendliest aviation community on the web
Register   Log in
Yeah, when I saw that i was like WTF??? The thing's almost doin a u-turn. That track is really odd, you would think it would truck on straight to yucutan, being located so far south. Oh well, up go the boards again...
 
Theres a cold front pushing thru the southeast on saturday that will be the steering currents for the storm. Hurricanes cannot pass through a frontal zone.
 
I've also heard that huricanes couldn't damage new orleans.
I'm in the center of the cone and as far as I'm concerned, no theories are stopping it. Hurricanes are tricky natural events that we still don't understand.

I hope the cold front comes and stop it, but I'm not betting on it. It's still too far out to have any real clue as to what it's going to do, but I already have evacuation plans. I wish this thing would have came earlier like on Saturday. I now looks like we may have to wait till Monday. I would already have been gone during the weekend.

I'll be visiting palm beach or NY depending on the intensity of the storm. I may do both as these things always change. :(

I don't know about everyone else, but the media is pissing me off with this storm. It's way too early to make any real predictions, and they're already running their mouth. One channel has it going up the punta gorda, and then heading south for an exit arround miami still being a cat 1 :nuts:
How long before they give us an exact track with GPS coordinates. How many times can you say stupid crap and still be credible?
 
Looks like it is going to hit the west coast first, so by the time it gets to me, it should be weaker, but I'm sure EVERYBODY ON THE AIRPORT is going to want their airplanes in the hangar. So, a stressful weekend, followed by a stressful week, cause its time for the boatshow. I might as well live at the airport.......
 
i could've told you all about a week and a half ago, but wasn't thinking.

i scheduled an EOC with the chief which has been put off for almost 3 months due to $h!+ like this.

I could've told you exactly where it was headed.
 
Paul, the cold front/trough/giant midwest storm system is what is going to push the system INTO Florida...not block it or protect it.

Oh...and just a few minutes ago...recon reported a pressure of 901MB, or possibly lower, with winds of atleast 150MPH. Winds are likely higher, and could end up exceeding 180MPH in a few hours.

Wilma is tied with Katrina as the 4th strongest storm (as measured by pressure on record)

This is a truely unreal hurricane season...3 of the top 5 strongest storms ever in just 6 weeks!!!!!!!
 
gkrangers said:
Paul, the cold front/trough/giant midwest storm system is what is going to push the system INTO Florida...not block it or protect it.

Oh...and just a few minutes ago...recon reported a pressure of 901MB, or possibly lower, with winds of atleast 150MPH. Winds are likely higher, and could end up exceeding 180MPH in a few hours.

Wilma is tied with Katrina as the 4th strongest storm (as measured by pressure on record)

This is a truely unreal hurricane season...3 of the top 5 strongest storms ever in just 6 weeks!!!!!!!
Click to expand...
I thought he was saying that FL would be protected by the cold front which is supposed to be over us this weekend.

I bet the cold front doesn't want to come anymore.

I can't believe how quickly this storm strengthened.
 
gkrangers is correct, there is a high pressure area over the gulf states and NO FL that is blocking Wilma. Combined with the westerlies, she has no choice except going through So FL.

I am shocked at how quickly this strengthened. Weatherunderground.com is saying this is now the strongest Atlantic hurricane on record. What a crazy season this has been... One record after another has been broken. 2005 will definitely be a historic hurricane season.

There is some forecasted shear and cooler water that will hamper the progress of Wilma. Most meteorologists have her no more than a 3 or so at landfall. Still not a good case for SW FL, but I think SE FL will dodge this bullet (hopefully). Good luck west coast guys...
 
gkrangers said:
Oh...and just a few minutes ago...recon reported a pressure of 901MB, or possibly lower, with winds of atleast 150MPH. Winds are likely higher, and could end up exceeding 180MPH in a few hours.

Wilma is tied with Katrina as the 4th strongest storm (as measured by pressure on record)
Click to expand...
Yup, they just said it's at 882MB!
 
gee, glad my ass is flying out of daytona tomorrow for ohio!!!
 
I got a runway, a house, and a hangar, in AZO. All you folks in FL, welcome. Called a friend in Miami, told him to get his stuff in his 172, head this way. Looks actually nasty, and extremely dangerous.
 
here ya go. Good place to escape a hurricane in FL
 
I might be confused a bit (although I do have a degree in meteorology), but I read that it is a low pressure system (actually a combination of a few lows forming a deep trough) that is going to push Wilma towards the east. The storm is predicted to be caught up in the westerly flow (counterclockwise around a low) and start its eastward trend. There is still a chance that it might be steered just south of Florida. Usually when hurricanes turn eastward, they weaken a bit. Hopefully this will hold true.

I have a friend in Key West that is about as fed up with hurricane season as I am in Pensacola.

And on that note, if anyone is evacuating to the north from South Florida, I have an extra room in my condo for anyone looking for a place to crash and avoid the storm (as long as it does not come to the Gulf Coast).
 
As Fred Flintstone once said...

Wilmaaaaaa!!!
 
I'm getting the F out of here tomorrow afternoon. No thanks you can have it. Move the pool furniture off the patio and wave goodbye.
 
How things change in the span of 6-12 hours.

Code:

AGREEMENT AMONG THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS...WHICH HAD BEEN VERY GOOD
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...HAS COMPLETELY COLLAPSED TODAY. THE
06Z RUNS OF THE GFS...GFDL...AND NOGAPS MODELS ACCELERATED WILMA
RAPIDLY TOWARD NEW ENGLAND UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ALL THREE OF THESE
MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF OF THIS SOLUTION...WITH THE GFDL SHOWING AN
EXTREME CHANGE...WITH ITS 5-DAY POSITION SHIFTING A MERE 1650 NMI
FROM ITS PREVIOUS POSITION IN MAINE TO THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
THERE IS ALMOST AS MUCH SPREAD IN THE 5-DAY POSITIONS OF THE 12Z
GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH RANGE FROM THE YUCATAN TO WELL EAST OF
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES IS THE EXTREME
SENSITIVITY OF WILMA'S FUTURE TRACK TO ITS INTERACTION WITH THE
GREAT LAKES LOW. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WILMA HAS BEEN
MOVING SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OR SOUTH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...AND
THE LEFT-MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS ARE NOW SHOWING WILMA
DELAYING OR MISSING THE CONNECTION WITH THE LOW. I HAVE SLOWED THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST JUST A LITTLE BIT AT THIS TIME...BUT IF WILMA
CONTINUES TO MOVE MORE TO THE LEFT THAN EXPECTED...SUBSTANTIAL
CHANGES TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAY HAVE TO BE MADE DOWN THE LINE.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK...ESPECIALLY THE
TIMING...HAS DECREASED CONSIDERABLY.​
 

Share this page

Latest posts

Latest resources

Latest media

Carbon Cub FX-3 Shenandoah Valley
Carbon Cub at Kittyhawk
FX-3 in the backcountry
IFR Panel in a Carbon Cub FX-3
Cub-Provo-UT-c.jpg
Back
Top Bottom